Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 2 (41.5%) and 1 (34.5%) dissents at the April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting heightened policy divergence after the March 17-18 session's 11-1 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with Governor Miran dissenting for a cut. Steady February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, an oil price spike curbing rate-cut odds (now near zero for April per futures), and recent Fed minutes plus speeches highlighting splits on 2026 easing—amid Powell's nod to "thoughtful" dissents—tilt sentiment toward modest hawkish pushback if upcoming March CPI (April 10) or jobs data surprises firmer, potentially lifting the 2-dissent outcome over 1.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour2 32%
1 30%
3 19%
0 6%
$10,562 Vol.
$10,562 Vol.
0
6%
1
34%
2
43%
3
19%
4+
2%
2 32%
1 30%
3 19%
0 6%
$10,562 Vol.
$10,562 Vol.
0
6%
1
34%
2
43%
3
19%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 2 (41.5%) and 1 (34.5%) dissents at the April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting heightened policy divergence after the March 17-18 session's 11-1 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with Governor Miran dissenting for a cut. Steady February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, an oil price spike curbing rate-cut odds (now near zero for April per futures), and recent Fed minutes plus speeches highlighting splits on 2026 easing—amid Powell's nod to "thoughtful" dissents—tilt sentiment toward modest hawkish pushback if upcoming March CPI (April 10) or jobs data surprises firmer, potentially lifting the 2-dissent outcome over 1.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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