Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service at Ben Gurion Airport confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, 2026, peaked at exactly 24°C during midday hours, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and IMS, which projected 23-24°C highs under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge enhancing solar heating, partially offset by Mediterranean sea breezes and variable cloud cover—slightly above March climatological norms of around 21°C. Scenarios challenging this include rare IMS data revisions from sensor recalibration or overlooked hourly readings, though improbable after full-day monitoring; final daily summary expected soon for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 28 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 28 mars ?
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C ou plus <1%
$62,600 Vol.
$62,600 Vol.
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C ou plus <1%
$62,600 Vol.
$62,600 Vol.
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service at Ben Gurion Airport confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, 2026, peaked at exactly 24°C during midday hours, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and IMS, which projected 23-24°C highs under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge enhancing solar heating, partially offset by Mediterranean sea breezes and variable cloud cover—slightly above March climatological norms of around 21°C. Scenarios challenging this include rare IMS data revisions from sensor recalibration or overlooked hourly readings, though improbable after full-day monitoring; final daily summary expected soon for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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