Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), updated within the past 24 hours, project Munich's highest temperature on March 28 clustering tightly around 9°C, aligning with trader sentiment assigning 29.5% implied probability to that outcome ahead of 8°C (20.5%) and 10°C (19.5%). This consensus reflects a cool northerly airflow from a lingering high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia, combined with partly cloudy skies capping daytime solar heating via reduced insolation and shallow boundary layer mixing. Model spreads of 2–3°C stem from uncertainties in cloud timing and frontal passage speed, against a March climatological average high of 11°C. Traders await fresh DWD guidance and 12z model runs tomorrow for potential shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 28 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 28 mars ?
9°C 31%
8°C 20%
10°C 20%
7°C 13%
5°C ou moins
7%
6°C
5%
7°C
13%
8°C
20%
9°C
31%
10°C
20%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C ou plus
1%
9°C 31%
8°C 20%
10°C 20%
7°C 13%
5°C ou moins
7%
6°C
5%
7°C
13%
8°C
20%
9°C
31%
10°C
20%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), updated within the past 24 hours, project Munich's highest temperature on March 28 clustering tightly around 9°C, aligning with trader sentiment assigning 29.5% implied probability to that outcome ahead of 8°C (20.5%) and 10°C (19.5%). This consensus reflects a cool northerly airflow from a lingering high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia, combined with partly cloudy skies capping daytime solar heating via reduced insolation and shallow boundary layer mixing. Model spreads of 2–3°C stem from uncertainties in cloud timing and frontal passage speed, against a March climatological average high of 11°C. Traders await fresh DWD guidance and 12z model runs tomorrow for potential shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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