Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Tel Aviv on March 28 (100% implied probability), driven by official NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 24°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that capped peak heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed temperatures topping out at 24°C around midday before cooling, aligning with Israel Meteorological Service updates noting a modest rise from prior cooler days (17–19°C highs on March 26–27). This fits March climatology, where highs average 20–22°C with variability from Mediterranean high-pressure influences. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked late-afternoon spikes, though diurnal patterns and sunset timing make this improbable as the day concludes. Final confirmation expected soon from NOAA archives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 28 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 28 mars ?
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C ou plus <1%
$62,445 Vol.
$62,445 Vol.
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C ou plus <1%
$62,445 Vol.
$62,445 Vol.
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Tel Aviv on March 28 (100% implied probability), driven by official NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 24°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that capped peak heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed temperatures topping out at 24°C around midday before cooling, aligning with Israel Meteorological Service updates noting a modest rise from prior cooler days (17–19°C highs on March 26–27). This fits March climatology, where highs average 20–22°C with variability from Mediterranean high-pressure influences. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked late-afternoon spikes, though diurnal patterns and sunset timing make this improbable as the day concludes. Final confirmation expected soon from NOAA archives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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