Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 56-57°F (97%) for Seattle's highest temperature on March 18, driven by aligned short-range forecasts from NOAA's National Weather Service and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project persistent marine layer clouds and cool onshore flow capping highs near seasonal norms of 54-57°F. Historical March data from Seattle-Tacoma Airport shows only 15% of days exceeding 59°F in the past 30 years, reinforcing this positioning amid current weak high-pressure ridging. Realistic challenges include an abrupt shift to offshore winds or unexpected breakdown in stratus clouds from a strengthening California ridge, potentially lifting temps to 60°F+, though model probabilities remain under 3% for such outliers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 18 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 18 mars ?
56-57°F 97.0%
58-59 °F 2.0%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$110,819 Vol.
$110,819 Vol.
56-57°F
97%
58-59 °F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F ou plus
<1%
56-57°F 97.0%
58-59 °F 2.0%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$110,819 Vol.
$110,819 Vol.
56-57°F
97%
58-59 °F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 14, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 56-57°F (97%) for Seattle's highest temperature on March 18, driven by aligned short-range forecasts from NOAA's National Weather Service and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project persistent marine layer clouds and cool onshore flow capping highs near seasonal norms of 54-57°F. Historical March data from Seattle-Tacoma Airport shows only 15% of days exceeding 59°F in the past 30 years, reinforcing this positioning amid current weak high-pressure ridging. Realistic challenges include an abrupt shift to offshore winds or unexpected breakdown in stratus clouds from a strengthening California ridge, potentially lifting temps to 60°F+, though model probabilities remain under 3% for such outliers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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