Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 82-83°F at 53.5% implied probability as Houston's highest temperature on March 29, closely trailed by 80-81°F at 25.5%, reflecting uncertainty in post-cold front recovery despite National Weather Service guidance for upper 60s to upper 70s under breezy northeasterly winds (10-15 mph, gusts to 25 mph) and mostly clear skies. Recent observations confirm an unusually warm March, with highs of 82-83°F on March 26 and 84°F earlier, exceeding 1991-2020 normals of ~76°F amid a high-pressure ridge fostering warm air advection prior to Friday night's front. Model ensembles show spread, with some runs indicating quicker rebound via subsidence; watch NWS afternoon updates and evening soundings for refined guidance on sea breeze effects or cloud cover that could cap peaks lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 29 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 29 mars ?
82-83°F 53%
80-81 °F 35%
78-79°F 9%
84-85°F 6%
$10,974 Vol.
$10,974 Vol.
73°F ou moins
1%
74-75 °F
2%
76-77 °F
3%
78-79°F
9%
80-81 °F
30%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
6%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F ou plus
<1%
82-83°F 53%
80-81 °F 35%
78-79°F 9%
84-85°F 6%
$10,974 Vol.
$10,974 Vol.
73°F ou moins
1%
74-75 °F
2%
76-77 °F
3%
78-79°F
9%
80-81 °F
30%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
6%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 82-83°F at 53.5% implied probability as Houston's highest temperature on March 29, closely trailed by 80-81°F at 25.5%, reflecting uncertainty in post-cold front recovery despite National Weather Service guidance for upper 60s to upper 70s under breezy northeasterly winds (10-15 mph, gusts to 25 mph) and mostly clear skies. Recent observations confirm an unusually warm March, with highs of 82-83°F on March 26 and 84°F earlier, exceeding 1991-2020 normals of ~76°F amid a high-pressure ridge fostering warm air advection prior to Friday night's front. Model ensembles show spread, with some runs indicating quicker rebound via subsidence; watch NWS afternoon updates and evening soundings for refined guidance on sea breeze effects or cloud cover that could cap peaks lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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