Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion at a 62.5% implied probability by March 31, reflecting Bloomberg Billionaires Index estimates near $637 billion as of March 29, driven primarily by Tesla (TSLA) shares declining 6% over the past week—from $386 on March 25 to $362 on March 27—eroding value from his approximate 13% stake, which comprises over 70% of his fortune. SpaceX's stable $800 billion private valuation provides a floor via Musk's 43% ownership, tempering downside but capping upside amid no fresh tender offers. The 640-650 billion bin at 27% captures stabilization scenarios, with higher brackets under 5% pricing out aggressive rebounds before Monday-Tuesday closes; watch TSLA trading volume for final positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour<640 mds 63%
640-650 milliards 28%
650-660 mds 4.0%
660-670 milliards 3.5%
$1,023,403 Vol.
$1,023,403 Vol.
<640 mds
63%
640-650 milliards
28%
650-660 mds
4%
660-670 milliards
4%
670-680 milliards
2%
680-690 milliards
<1%
690-700 milliards
1%
700-710 mds
1%
710 milliards+
2%
<640 mds 63%
640-650 milliards 28%
650-660 mds 4.0%
660-670 milliards 3.5%
$1,023,403 Vol.
$1,023,403 Vol.
<640 mds
63%
640-650 milliards
28%
650-660 mds
4%
660-670 milliards
4%
670-680 milliards
2%
680-690 milliards
<1%
690-700 milliards
1%
700-710 mds
1%
710 milliards+
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion at a 62.5% implied probability by March 31, reflecting Bloomberg Billionaires Index estimates near $637 billion as of March 29, driven primarily by Tesla (TSLA) shares declining 6% over the past week—from $386 on March 25 to $362 on March 27—eroding value from his approximate 13% stake, which comprises over 70% of his fortune. SpaceX's stable $800 billion private valuation provides a floor via Musk's 43% ownership, tempering downside but capping upside amid no fresh tender offers. The 640-650 billion bin at 27% captures stabilization scenarios, with higher brackets under 5% pricing out aggressive rebounds before Monday-Tuesday closes; watch TSLA trading volume for final positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes