Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,755 Vol.
2 juin 2026
Mike Thompson
99%
Eric Jones
95%
Trevor Merrell
15%
Heath Fulkerson
9%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Sharon Brown
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
John Wesley Tyler
45%
$20,755 Vol.
Mike Thompson
$6,502 Vol.
99%
Eric Jones
$4,052 Vol.
95%
Trevor Merrell
$6,288 Vol.
15%
Heath Fulkerson
$252 Vol.
9%
Mandy Ghusar
$728 Vol.
6%
Sharon Brown
$1,605 Vol.
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 Vol.
4%
John Wesley Tyler
$618 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Volume
$20,755Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,755Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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