Polymarket traders price a 66% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus around 3% from consultoras like Analytica and JPMorgan, adjusted upward after February's 2.9% print matched January but beat Reuters poll median of 2.7%. Core inflation accelerated to 3.1% month-over-month, driven by administered prices (+4.3%) and food (+3.3%), while recent fuel hikes amid global oil shocks from Iran tensions and seasonal pressures—education up 12%, clothing surges—bolster upside risks. Lower bins like 2.8–3.0% (19.5%) capture BCRA REM's more optimistic 2.5% view, but trader capital favors mild persistence above 3% ahead of INDEC's mid-April release. Annual 2026 forecasts hover near 26%, underscoring sticky disinflation dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourArgentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 66%
2.8–3.0% 20%
2.5–2.7% 7.5%
3.4–3.6% 7.4%
$15,370 Vol.
$15,370 Vol.
14 avr. 2026
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
2%
2.5–2.7%
8%
2.8–3.0%
20%
3.1–3.3%
66%
3.4–3.6%
7%
3.7%+
2%
3.1–3.3% 66%
2.8–3.0% 20%
2.5–2.7% 7.5%
3.4–3.6% 7.4%
$15,370 Vol.
$15,370 Vol.
14 avr. 2026
≤2.1%
$1,263 Vol.
1%
2.2–2.4%
$882 Vol.
2%
2.5–2.7%
$1,213 Vol.
8%
2.8–3.0%
$1,497 Vol.
20%
3.1–3.3%
$4,869 Vol.
66%
3.4–3.6%
$2,184 Vol.
7%
3.7%+
$3,462 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a 66% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus around 3% from consultoras like Analytica and JPMorgan, adjusted upward after February's 2.9% print matched January but beat Reuters poll median of 2.7%. Core inflation accelerated to 3.1% month-over-month, driven by administered prices (+4.3%) and food (+3.3%), while recent fuel hikes amid global oil shocks from Iran tensions and seasonal pressures—education up 12%, clothing surges—bolster upside risks. Lower bins like 2.8–3.0% (19.5%) capture BCRA REM's more optimistic 2.5% view, but trader capital favors mild persistence above 3% ahead of INDEC's mid-April release. Annual 2026 forecasts hover near 26%, underscoring sticky disinflation dynamics.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Volume
$15,370Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a 66% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus around 3% from consultoras like Analytica and JPMorgan, adjusted upward after February's 2.9% print matched January but beat Reuters poll median of 2.7%. Core inflation accelerated to 3.1% month-over-month, driven by administered prices (+4.3%) and food (+3.3%), while recent fuel hikes amid global oil shocks from Iran tensions and seasonal pressures—education up 12%, clothing surges—bolster upside risks. Lower bins like 2.8–3.0% (19.5%) capture BCRA REM's more optimistic 2.5% view, but trader capital favors mild persistence above 3% ahead of INDEC's mid-April release. Annual 2026 forecasts hover near 26%, underscoring sticky disinflation dynamics.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$15,370Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 66% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus around 3% from consultoras like Analytica and JPMorgan, adjusted upward after February's 2.9% print matched January but beat Reuters poll median of 2.7%. Core inflation accelerated to 3.1% month-over-month, driven by administered prices (+4.3%) and food (+3.3%), while recent fuel hikes amid global oil shocks from Iran tensions and seasonal pressures—education up 12%, clothing surges—bolster upside risks. Lower bins like 2.8–3.0% (19.5%) capture BCRA REM's more optimistic 2.5% view, but trader capital favors mild persistence above 3% ahead of INDEC's mid-April release. Annual 2026 forecasts hover near 26%, underscoring sticky disinflation dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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