Market icon
Économie·Récompenses 10, 4.5, 50

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Market icon
Économie·Récompenses 10, 4.5, 50

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Apr 14

Apr 14

3.1–3.3% 67%

2.8–3.0% 20%

3.4–3.6% 8.4%

2.5–2.7% 5%

Polymarket

$12,845 Vol.

3.1–3.3% 67%

2.8–3.0% 20%

3.4–3.6% 8.4%

2.5–2.7% 5%

Polymarket

$12,845 Vol.

≤2.1%

$1,152 Vol.

1%

2.2–2.4%

$776 Vol.

2%

2.5–2.7%

$1,086 Vol.

5%

2.8–3.0%

$1,367 Vol.

20%

3.1–3.3%

$3,665 Vol.

67%

3.4–3.6%

$1,503 Vol.

8%

3.7%+

$3,296 Vol.

2%

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting February's 2.9% print—stable from January but exceeding the 2.7% economist median forecast amid rises in food and administered prices like utilities. Private consultoras now project March inflation near 3% or slightly higher, driven by persistent regulated price adjustments and forward-looking inertia under President Milei's fiscal austerity, despite annual forecasts easing to around 26–33%. This positions lower bins like 2.8–3.0% (20%) as secondary, with upside risks from seasonal factors. INDEC's official March release, due early April, remains the key catalyst amid moderating but sticky inflation dynamics.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting February's 2.9% print—stable from January but exceeding the 2.7% economist median forecast amid rises in food and administered prices like utilities. Private consultoras now project March inflation near 3% or slightly higher, driven by persistent regulated price adjustments and forward-looking inertia under President Milei's fiscal austerity, despite annual forecasts easing to around 26–33%. This positions lower bins like 2.8–3.0% (20%) as secondary, with upside risks from seasonal factors. INDEC's official March release, due early April, remains the key catalyst amid moderating but sticky inflation dynamics.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting February's 2.9% print—stable from January but exceeding the 2.7% economist median forecast amid rises in food and administered prices like utilities. Private consultoras now project March inflation near 3% or slightly higher, driven by persistent regulated price adjustments and forward-looking inertia under President Milei's fiscal austerity, despite annual forecasts easing to around 26–33%. This positions lower bins like 2.8–3.0% (20%) as secondary, with upside risks from seasonal factors. INDEC's official March release, due early April, remains the key catalyst amid moderating but sticky inflation dynamics.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting February's 2.9% print—stable from January but exceeding the 2.7% economist median forecast amid rises in food and administered prices like utilities. Private consultoras now project March inflation near 3% or slightly higher, driven by persistent regulated price adjustments and forward-looking inertia under President Milei's fiscal austerity, despite annual forecasts easing to around 26–33%. This positions lower bins like 2.8–3.0% (20%) as secondary, with upside risks from seasonal factors. INDEC's official March release, due early April, remains the key catalyst amid moderating but sticky inflation dynamics.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Argentina Monthly Inflation - March » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 3.1–3.3% » à 67%, suivi de « 2.8–3.0% » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 67¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 67% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Argentina Monthly Inflation - March » a généré $12.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Argentina Monthly Inflation - March », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Argentina Monthly Inflation - March » est « 3.1–3.3% » à 67%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 67% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 2.8–3.0% » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Argentina Monthly Inflation - March » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.