Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

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Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Market icon

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$624,926 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$624,926 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast reaches or exceeds 170,000 Iranian toman (equivalent to 1,700,000 Iranian rials) at any point between market creation and February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).

A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.

Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.

The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the February 28, 2026, exchange rate data is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$624,926
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast reaches or exceeds 170,000 Iranian toman (equivalent to 1,700,000 Iranian rials) at any point between market creation and February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the February 28, 2026, exchange rate data is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast reaches or exceeds 170,000 Iranian toman (equivalent to 1,700,000 Iranian rials) at any point between market creation and February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).

A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.

Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.

The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the February 28, 2026, exchange rate data is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$624,926
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast reaches or exceeds 170,000 Iranian toman (equivalent to 1,700,000 Iranian rials) at any point between market creation and February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the February 28, 2026, exchange rate data is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?" has generated $624.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.