Will Trump release Epstein files by...?
$3,093,496 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 19
$467,132 Vol.
53%
December 19
$467,132 Vol.
53%
December 31
$1,014,465 Vol.
66%
December 31
$1,014,465 Vol.
66%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, which weren’t previously public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying file must contain substantive information pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein.
The following will qualify:
-Previously released documents in which redactions containing new substantive content such as names of associates or practices directly pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein were removed.
-Documents that weren’t previously public and contain information pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, even if that information was already known from previous releases (e.g. a previously unreleased document pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which mentions Ghislaine Maxwell will qualify even if the information itself isn’t novel)
The following will not qualify:
-Trivial metadata-only releases, duplicative redactions, or administrative cover sheets without substantive content.
-Files which were created after the start of the Trump Administration (January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET).
-Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe.
-Releases made exclusively by federal courts (including unsealings), Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch.
-Releases made by non-Executive entities, even if based on Executive Branch filings or requests.
-Court-ordered FOIA disclosures or FOIA litigation records provided by a court.
-Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures will not qualify
For a release to qualify, the Executive Branch must itself publish the files to the public, such as through an official website, public press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions to Congress, courts, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible.
FOIA responses qualify only if the Executive Branch agency itself publicly releases the responsive files. FOIA disclosures published by courts as part of litigation do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying file must contain substantive information pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein.
The following will qualify:
-Previously released documents in which redactions containing new substantive content such as names of associates or practices directly pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein were removed.
-Documents that weren’t previously public and contain information pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, even if that information was already known from previous releases (e.g. a previously unreleased document pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which mentions Ghislaine Maxwell will qualify even if the information itself isn’t novel)
The following will not qualify:
-Trivial metadata-only releases, duplicative redactions, or administrative cover sheets without substantive content.
-Files which were created after the start of the Trump Administration (January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET).
-Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe.
-Releases made exclusively by federal courts (including unsealings), Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch.
-Releases made by non-Executive entities, even if based on Executive Branch filings or requests.
-Court-ordered FOIA disclosures or FOIA litigation records provided by a court.
-Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures will not qualify
For a release to qualify, the Executive Branch must itself publish the files to the public, such as through an official website, public press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions to Congress, courts, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible.
FOIA responses qualify only if the Executive Branch agency itself publicly releases the responsive files. FOIA disclosures published by courts as part of litigation do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: Nov 18, 2025, 11:22 PM
Volume
$3,093,496Created At
Nov 18, 2025, 11:22 PMResolver
0x65070BE91...$3,093,496 Vol.
Will Trump release Epstein files by...?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 19
$467,132 Vol.
53%
December 31
$1,014,465 Vol.
66%
About
Volume
$3,093,496Created At
Nov 18, 2025, 11:22 PMResolver
0x65070BE91...



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