Will Russia enter Huliaipole by...?
$340,844 Vol.
Nov 30, 2025
November 30
$227,250 Vol.
No
November 30
$227,250 Vol.
No
December 15
$113,594 Vol.
Yes
December 15
$113,594 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Huliaipole by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Huliaipole shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures any of the specified territory, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Huliaipole by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Huliaipole shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures any of the specified territory, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Huliaipole shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures any of the specified territory, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Created At: Oct 28, 2025, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$340,844End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Oct 28, 2025, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by...?
$340,844 Vol.
November 30
$227,250 Vol.
No
December 15
$113,594 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$340,844End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Oct 28, 2025, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.