Will Russia capture Siversk by...?
$2,507,414 Vol.
Sep 30, 2025
September 30
$200,828 Vol.
No
September 30
$200,828 Vol.
No
October 31
$171,186 Vol.
No
October 31
$171,186 Vol.
No
November 30
$395,648 Vol.
No
November 30
$395,648 Vol.
No
December 22
$437,431 Vol.
Yes
December 22
$437,431 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$1,302,320 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$1,302,320 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Siversk railroad station located off of Zaliznychna Vulytsia by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+train+station.jpeg
Siversk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+location.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/WCVn7wGSy1i289Nw8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Siversk railroad station located off of Zaliznychna Vulytsia by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+train+station.jpeg
Siversk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+location.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/WCVn7wGSy1i289Nw8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+train+station.jpeg
Siversk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+location.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/WCVn7wGSy1i289Nw8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Created At: Aug 12, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
Volume
$2,507,414End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Aug 12, 2025, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Will Russia capture Siversk by...?
$2,507,414 Vol.
September 30
$200,828 Vol.
No
October 31
$171,186 Vol.
No
November 30
$395,648 Vol.
No
December 22
$437,431 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$1,302,320 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$2,507,414End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Aug 12, 2025, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...
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