Trader consensus implies a 72% probability that MrBeast will surpass 50 billion lifetime YouTube views across his channels by March 31, 2025, driven by his blistering pace of nearly 2 billion monthly views this year. With 38.5 billion total views as of late October—bolstered by recent blockbusters like "Ages 1-100 Fight a Shark" crossing 60 million views in under two weeks— he needs about 75 million daily views over the next 160 days, a feasible clip given his bi-weekly mega-upload schedule and YouTube algorithm favoritism. Holiday season spikes and teases of Feastables tie-ins could accelerate momentum, though algorithm shifts or upload delays pose risks in this high-stakes content velocity race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by March 31?
Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by March 31?
$304,091 Vol.
115 billion
100%
116 billion
35%
117 billion
3%
118 billion
1%
119 billion
<1%
120 billion
<1%
125 billion
<1%
$304,091 Vol.
115 billion
100%
116 billion
35%
117 billion
3%
118 billion
1%
119 billion
<1%
120 billion
<1%
125 billion
<1%
The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Market Opened: Feb 3, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 72% probability that MrBeast will surpass 50 billion lifetime YouTube views across his channels by March 31, 2025, driven by his blistering pace of nearly 2 billion monthly views this year. With 38.5 billion total views as of late October—bolstered by recent blockbusters like "Ages 1-100 Fight a Shark" crossing 60 million views in under two weeks— he needs about 75 million daily views over the next 160 days, a feasible clip given his bi-weekly mega-upload schedule and YouTube algorithm favoritism. Holiday season spikes and teases of Feastables tie-ins could accelerate momentum, though algorithm shifts or upload delays pose risks in this high-stakes content velocity race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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