Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has intensified military purges throughout 2026, with January removals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a longtime ally and combat veteran—and Joint Staff Chief Liu Zhenli marking the campaign's peak, followed by the ouster of nine PLA officers from the National People's Congress ahead of March Two Sessions meetings. CSIS analysis highlights over 100 senior officers potentially purged since 2022, creating leadership vacuums that traders view as prioritizing political loyalty over operational readiness amid Taiwan tensions. No major announcements emerged in late March, but Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes could target additional defense, Rocket Force, or finance figures before year-end, reflecting Xi's consolidation of control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$91,631 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
16%
Zhang Shengmin
15%
Cai Qi
9%
Ding Xuexiang
8%
Wang Huning
4%
Zhao Leji
4%
Li Xi
4%
Li Qiang
3%
Wang Yi
2%
$91,631 Vol.
Dong Jun
$8,479 Vol.
16%
Zhang Shengmin
$12,126 Vol.
15%
Cai Qi
$22,920 Vol.
9%
Ding Xuexiang
$11,088 Vol.
8%
Wang Huning
$4,380 Vol.
4%
Zhao Leji
$5,958 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$14,898 Vol.
4%
Li Qiang
$3,967 Vol.
3%
Wang Yi
$7,814 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has intensified military purges throughout 2026, with January removals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a longtime ally and combat veteran—and Joint Staff Chief Liu Zhenli marking the campaign's peak, followed by the ouster of nine PLA officers from the National People's Congress ahead of March Two Sessions meetings. CSIS analysis highlights over 100 senior officers potentially purged since 2022, creating leadership vacuums that traders view as prioritizing political loyalty over operational readiness amid Taiwan tensions. No major announcements emerged in late March, but Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes could target additional defense, Rocket Force, or finance figures before year-end, reflecting Xi's consolidation of control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$91,631End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has intensified military purges throughout 2026, with January removals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a longtime ally and combat veteran—and Joint Staff Chief Liu Zhenli marking the campaign's peak, followed by the ouster of nine PLA officers from the National People's Congress ahead of March Two Sessions meetings. CSIS analysis highlights over 100 senior officers potentially purged since 2022, creating leadership vacuums that traders view as prioritizing political loyalty over operational readiness amid Taiwan tensions. No major announcements emerged in late March, but Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes could target additional defense, Rocket Force, or finance figures before year-end, reflecting Xi's consolidation of control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$91,631End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has intensified military purges throughout 2026, with January removals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a longtime ally and combat veteran—and Joint Staff Chief Liu Zhenli marking the campaign's peak, followed by the ouster of nine PLA officers from the National People's Congress ahead of March Two Sessions meetings. CSIS analysis highlights over 100 senior officers potentially purged since 2022, creating leadership vacuums that traders view as prioritizing political loyalty over operational readiness amid Taiwan tensions. No major announcements emerged in late March, but Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes could target additional defense, Rocket Force, or finance figures before year-end, reflecting Xi's consolidation of control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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