Name: Who will sing the national anthem at Trump inauguration?
Start: 2025-01-06T17:23:34.586108Z
End: 2025-01-20T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This is a market on predicting who will perform the Star-Spangled Banner at Trump's inauguration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West sings "The Star-Spangled Banner" during Donald Trump's inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market refers to the primary performance of "The Star-Spangled Banner". If multiple performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner", this market will resolve to whichever is listed in this market. If multiple listed performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner" this market will resolve based on the alphabetical order of the performer's listed last name.  

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the inauguration, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kanye West

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kid Rock sings "The Star-Spangled Banner" during Donald Trump's inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market refers to the primary performance of "The Star-Spangled Banner". If multiple performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner", this market will resolve to whichever is listed in this market. If multiple listed performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner" this market will resolve based on the alphabetical order of the performer's listed last name.  

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the inauguration, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kid Rock

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lee Greenwood sings "The Star-Spangled Banner" during Donald Trump's inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market refers to the primary performance of "The Star-Spangled Banner". If multiple performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner", this market will resolve to whichever is listed in this market. If multiple listed performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner" this market will resolve based on the alphabetical order of the performer's listed last name.  

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the inauguration, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Lee Greenwood

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Voight sings "The Star-Spangled Banner" during Donald Trump's inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market refers to the primary performance of "The Star-Spangled Banner". If multiple performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner", this market will resolve to whichever is listed in this market. If multiple listed performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner" this market will resolve based on the alphabetical order of the performer's listed last name.  

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the inauguration, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Jon Voight 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lara Trumpt sings "The Star-Spangled Banner" during Donald Trump's inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market refers to the primary performance of "The Star-Spangled Banner". If multiple performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner", this market will resolve to whichever is listed in this market. If multiple listed performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner" this market will resolve based on the alphabetical order of the performer's listed last name.  

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the inauguration, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Lara Trump

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Piano Guys sings "The Star-Spangled Banner" during Donald Trump's inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market refers to the primary performance of "The Star-Spangled Banner". If multiple performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner", this market will resolve to whichever is listed in this market. If multiple listed performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner" this market will resolve based on the alphabetical order of the performer's listed last name.  

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the inauguration, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The Piano Guys

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk sings "The Star-Spangled Banner" during Donald Trump's inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market refers to the primary performance of "The Star-Spangled Banner". If multiple performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner", this market will resolve to whichever is listed in this market. If multiple listed performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner" this market will resolve based on the alphabetical order of the performer's listed last name.  

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the inauguration, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Elon Musk

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any current or former U.S. service member (excluding those listed separately in this market) sings "The Star-Spangled Banner" during Donald Trump's inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market refers to the primary performance of "The Star-Spangled Banner". If multiple performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner", this market will resolve to whichever is listed in this market. If multiple listed performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner" this market will resolve if favor of any other listed performer.  

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the inauguration, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

U.S. Service member(s)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Christopher Macchio sings "The Star-Spangled Banner" during Donald Trump's inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market refers to the primary performance of the "The Star-Spangled Banner". If multiple performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner", this market will resolve to which ever is listed in this market. If multiple listed performers sing "The Star-Spangled Banner" this market will resolve based on the alphabetical order of the Performs listed last name.  

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the inauguration, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Christopher Macchio

Who will sing the national anthem at Trump inauguration? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bad Bunny performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LX halftime show currently scheduled for February 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

This market will resolve according to the next person Donald Trump appoints to the National Security Advisor position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Trump's first announcement - if Trump announces another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

This market refers to the first permanent National Security Advisor following Mike Waltz's departure from the role; any acting advisor or otherwise temporary advisor will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Fred Fleitz be next National Security Advisor?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played by any performer during the Super Bowl LX halftime show currently scheduled for February 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played first by any performer during the Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will "La Santa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?

Donald Trump is set to make an appearance at the 48th Annual Kennedy Center Honors, which is scheduled to air on December 23, 2025 (https://www.npr.org/2025/12/05/nx-s1-5607173/kennedy-center-honors-trump).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the Kennedy Center Honors event on December 7, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) between October 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.

Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Washington Commanders, or the ownership/development entity responsible for the team’s planned new stadium in Washington, D.C., officially announce and agree that the stadium will be named after Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A qualifying announcement must:
- Be made publicly and on the record by the Commanders organization or by the entity that owns or controls the new stadium (e.g., via press release, official statement, or filing).
- Clearly state that the new stadium will bear Trump’s name (for example, “Trump Stadium” or “Donald J. Trump Field”).
- Reflect a finalized agreement or naming-rights deal, not a proposal, negotiation, or expression of intent.

If any other official naming-rights deal is announced for the new stadium prior to June 30, 2026 — including a corporate sponsorship or another individual’s name — this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution sources will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Los Angeles Rams win the 2025-26 NFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the NFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration takes a formal action or makes an official announcement directing the deployment of National Guard troops to the listed city by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying announcement or action will count, regardless of if/when the deployment actually occurs, or if the deployment is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions.

Qualifying actions include but are not limited to:
- A Presidential action (e.g., Executive Order, Presidential Memorandum) that directs or announces National Guard deployment to the listed city.
- An official White House/DoD/National Guard Bureau press release, fact sheet, or order explicitly stating that National Guard troops will be deployed to the listed city.
- A Secretary of Defense or NGB directive/order that calls up or assigns National Guard forces to the listed city, including under Title 32 (state control with federal funding) or Title 10 (federalized).
- An official federal announcement that specific state Guard units (including the listed city National Guard or out-of-state Guard) are being sent to the listed city.

Non-qualifying actions include:
- Informal announcements/social media posts which do not constitute a formal policy announcement 
- Ambiguous remarks, “we’re considering it,” broad statements like “ready to go anywhere,” or contingent plans without a clear directive to the listed city.
- Generic posture changes (e.g., standing up quick-reaction forces “nationwide”) that do not explicitly name the listed city as a deployment location.
- A state-only activation by the listed city's state Governor without any official Trump administration action or announcement about sending the Guard to the listed city.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump send the national guard to Los Angeles by December 31?

Donald Trump is set to make an address on December 17, 2025 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115730644486071082).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled address on December 17, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Border" while addressing the nation on December 17?

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".  

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is formally charged or criminally indicted for insider trading related to a tariff policy announcement made during the second Trump administration between July 11 and December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Buffalo Bills win the 2025-26 AFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the AFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?

On September 1, 2025, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the Trump administration may declare a national housing emergency this fall to address high housing costs.(see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/bessent-says-trump-administration-will-tackle-high-housing-costs-with-new-2025-09-01/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) primarily addressing housing by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.

Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Los Angeles Rams team to win the NFC West based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers team to win the NFC South based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. 

Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump announce run for 3rd term?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Green Bay Packers team to win the NFC North based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?

Donald Trump is set to make an appearance at the Rocky Mount Events Center on December 19, 2025 (https://www.wral.com/news/local/president-trump-speak-rocky-mount-friday-december-2025/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at Rocky Mount on December 19, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Mexico" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Philadelphia Eagles team to win the NFC East based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Jacksonville Jaguars team to win the AFC South based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Laura Loomer to his administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Laura Loomer join Trump administration by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement within this market’s timeframe from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. 

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump golfs on over 25% of days between January 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to https://trumpgolftrack.com as of January 2, 2026, 12:00 PM. However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the trumpgolftrack.com tally is incomplete. 

 


Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Pittsburgh Steelers team to win the AFC North based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Eric Adams to his administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Eric Adams join Trump administration by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins the 2026 College Football National Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the College Football National Championship based on the rules of the NCAA (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from NCAA Football, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.

If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Who will sing the national anthem at Trump inauguration?

Kanye West
$22,912 Vol.
No

Kid Rock
$22,647 Vol.
No

Lee Greenwood
$23,988 Vol.
No

Jon Voight
$14,871 Vol.
No

Lara Trump
$11,437 Vol.
No

The Piano Guys
$13,570 Vol.
No

Elon Musk
$40,792 Vol.
No

U.S. Service member(s)
$9,150 Vol.
No

Christopher Macchio
$6,812 Vol.
Yes

Market Context

Who will sing the national anthem at Trump inauguration?

Rules

Who will sing the national anthem at Trump inauguration?

Market Context

Who will sing the national anthem at Trump inauguration?

About

Related

Who will sing the national anthem at Trump inauguration?

Kanye West$22,912 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Kid Rock$22,647 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lee Greenwood$23,988 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Jon Voight $14,871 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lara Trump$11,437 Vol.Nocircle xmark

The Piano Guys$13,570 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Elon Musk$40,792 Vol.Nocircle xmark

U.S. Service member(s)$9,150 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Christopher Macchio$6,812 Vol.Yescircle check

Market Context

Who will sing the national anthem at Trump inauguration?

Rules

Who will sing the national anthem at Trump inauguration?

Market Context

Who will sing the national anthem at Trump inauguration?

About

Related

Kanye West
$22,912 Vol.
No

Kid Rock
$22,647 Vol.
No

Lee Greenwood
$23,988 Vol.
No

Jon Voight
$14,871 Vol.
No

Lara Trump
$11,437 Vol.
No

The Piano Guys
$13,570 Vol.
No

Elon Musk
$40,792 Vol.
No

U.S. Service member(s)
$9,150 Vol.
No

Christopher Macchio
$6,812 Vol.
Yes