Market icon

Which movie has second biggest opening weekend in 2025?

Market icon

Which movie has second biggest opening weekend in 2025?

Wicked: For Good 100.0%

A Minecraft Movie <1%

Avatar: Fire and Ash <1%

Zootopia 2 <1%

Polymarket

$618,357 Vol.

Wicked: For Good 100.0%

A Minecraft Movie <1%

Avatar: Fire and Ash <1%

Zootopia 2 <1%

Polymarket

$618,357 Vol.

Market icon

A Minecraft Movie

$92,832 Vol.

No

Market icon

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$90,077 Vol.

No

Market icon

Zootopia 2

$152,244 Vol.

No

Market icon

Wicked: For Good

$188,034 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Superman

$28,410 Vol.

No

Market icon

Lilo & Stitch

$66,759 Vol.

No

This is a market on whether 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) will have the second-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) grosses the second-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If two other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$618,357
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2025, 4:14 PM ET
This is a market on whether 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) will have the second-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) grosses the second-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If two other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which movie has second biggest opening weekend in 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wicked: For Good" at 100%, followed by "A Minecraft Movie" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which movie has second biggest opening weekend in 2025?" has generated $618.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which movie has second biggest opening weekend in 2025?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which movie has second biggest opening weekend in 2025?" is "Wicked: For Good" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "A Minecraft Movie" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which movie has second biggest opening weekend in 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.