Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
NEW
$314,280 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Russia
$103,486 Vol.
48%
Russia
$103,486 Vol.
48%
India
$8,806 Vol.
47%
India
$8,806 Vol.
47%
Italy
$5,958 Vol.
37%
Italy
$5,958 Vol.
37%
Ukraine
$14,074 Vol.
26%
Ukraine
$14,074 Vol.
26%
U.K.
$3,769 Vol.
23%
U.K.
$3,769 Vol.
23%
Brazil
$263 Vol.
22%
Brazil
$263 Vol.
22%
Sweden
$1,146 Vol.
20%
Sweden
$1,146 Vol.
20%
Finland
$1,187 Vol.
18%
Finland
$1,187 Vol.
18%
Denmark
$3,617 Vol.
16%
Denmark
$3,617 Vol.
16%
Switzerland
$1,172 Vol.
16%
Switzerland
$1,172 Vol.
16%
Germany
$12,062 Vol.
16%
Germany
$12,062 Vol.
16%
Netherlands
$323 Vol.
16%
Netherlands
$323 Vol.
16%
China
$19,709 Vol.
14%
China
$19,709 Vol.
14%
Palestine
$5,781 Vol.
12%
Palestine
$5,781 Vol.
12%
France
$13,441 Vol.
11%
France
$13,441 Vol.
11%
Belgium
$13,099 Vol.
11%
Belgium
$13,099 Vol.
11%
Spain
$650 Vol.
11%
Spain
$650 Vol.
11%
Norway
$2,955 Vol.
9%
Norway
$2,955 Vol.
9%
Rules
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Volume
$314,280End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$314,280 Vol.
Russia
$103,486 Vol.
48%
India
$8,806 Vol.
47%
Italy
$5,958 Vol.
37%
Ukraine
$14,074 Vol.
26%
U.K.
$3,769 Vol.
23%
Brazil
$263 Vol.
22%
Sweden
$1,146 Vol.
20%
Finland
$1,187 Vol.
18%
Denmark
$3,617 Vol.
16%
Switzerland
$1,172 Vol.
16%
Germany
$12,062 Vol.
16%
Netherlands
$323 Vol.
16%
China
$19,709 Vol.
14%
Palestine
$5,781 Vol.
12%
France
$13,441 Vol.
11%
Belgium
$13,099 Vol.
11%
Spain
$650 Vol.
11%
Norway
$2,955 Vol.
9%
About
Volume
$314,280End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
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