The Dow Jones Industrial Average endured heightened volatility in March 2026, closing at 46,341.51 on March 31 after a 1,100-point rally that day capped a turbulent month marked by a roughly 5% decline from early highs near 47,700. Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, drove oil prices higher, creating an energy shock that fueled inflation fears and prompted the Federal Open Market Committee to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18, with Chair Powell highlighting persistent price pressures. This triggered sharp selloffs, including a 793-point drop to 45,167 on March 27, reflecting trader consensus on geopolitical risks outweighing resilient corporate earnings amid rising Treasury yields. Polymarket odds captured this uncertainty, with sentiment shifting on quarter-end rebalancing and de-escalation hopes; upcoming April nonfarm payrolls and JOLTS data will shape forward rate path expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$43,355 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
↑ 49800
No
↑ 48300
No
↑ 47100
Yes
↑ 45900
Yes
↑ 45000
Yes
↑ 44400
Yes
↑ 43800
Yes
↓ 43200
No
↓ 42600
No
↓ 42000
No
↓ 41100
No
↓ 40200
No
↓ 39000
No
↓ 37500
No
$43,355 Vol.
↑ 49800
$792 Vol.
No
↑ 48300
$21,579 Vol.
No
↑ 47100
$0 Vol.
Yes
↑ 45900
$0 Vol.
Yes
↑ 45000
$0 Vol.
Yes
↑ 44400
$0 Vol.
Yes
↑ 43800
$0 Vol.
Yes
↓ 43200
$4,689 Vol.
No
↓ 42600
$2,980 Vol.
No
↓ 42000
$2,250 Vol.
No
↓ 41100
$3,092 Vol.
No
↓ 40200
$3,866 Vol.
No
↓ 39000
$2,343 Vol.
No
↓ 37500
$1,764 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.The Dow Jones Industrial Average endured heightened volatility in March 2026, closing at 46,341.51 on March 31 after a 1,100-point rally that day capped a turbulent month marked by a roughly 5% decline from early highs near 47,700. Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, drove oil prices higher, creating an energy shock that fueled inflation fears and prompted the Federal Open Market Committee to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18, with Chair Powell highlighting persistent price pressures. This triggered sharp selloffs, including a 793-point drop to 45,167 on March 27, reflecting trader consensus on geopolitical risks outweighing resilient corporate earnings amid rising Treasury yields. Polymarket odds captured this uncertainty, with sentiment shifting on quarter-end rebalancing and de-escalation hopes; upcoming April nonfarm payrolls and JOLTS data will shape forward rate path expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$43,355End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DJIA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.The Dow Jones Industrial Average endured heightened volatility in March 2026, closing at 46,341.51 on March 31 after a 1,100-point rally that day capped a turbulent month marked by a roughly 5% decline from early highs near 47,700. Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, drove oil prices higher, creating an energy shock that fueled inflation fears and prompted the Federal Open Market Committee to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18, with Chair Powell highlighting persistent price pressures. This triggered sharp selloffs, including a 793-point drop to 45,167 on March 27, reflecting trader consensus on geopolitical risks outweighing resilient corporate earnings amid rising Treasury yields. Polymarket odds captured this uncertainty, with sentiment shifting on quarter-end rebalancing and de-escalation hopes; upcoming April nonfarm payrolls and JOLTS data will shape forward rate path expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$43,355End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DJIA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Dow Jones Industrial Average endured heightened volatility in March 2026, closing at 46,341.51 on March 31 after a 1,100-point rally that day capped a turbulent month marked by a roughly 5% decline from early highs near 47,700. Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, drove oil prices higher, creating an energy shock that fueled inflation fears and prompted the Federal Open Market Committee to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18, with Chair Powell highlighting persistent price pressures. This triggered sharp selloffs, including a 793-point drop to 45,167 on March 27, reflecting trader consensus on geopolitical risks outweighing resilient corporate earnings amid rising Treasury yields. Polymarket odds captured this uncertainty, with sentiment shifting on quarter-end rebalancing and de-escalation hopes; upcoming April nonfarm payrolls and JOLTS data will shape forward rate path expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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