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Warren Buffett vs Bill Ackman vs S&P 500: Week of November 24

Market icon

Warren Buffett vs Bill Ackman vs S&P 500: Week of November 24

Ackman 100.0%

SPX <1%

Buffett <1%

Polymarket

$1,994 Vol.

Ackman 100.0%

SPX <1%

Buffett <1%

Polymarket

$1,994 Vol.

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SPX

$315 Vol.

No

Market icon

Buffett

$1,163 Vol.

No

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Ackman

$516 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the index that performs best for the week beginning November 24, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index, and the S&P 500. The resolution source for the Warren Buffett Index ("Buffett") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for S&P 500 ("SPX") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices Information from the "Historical Prices" table will be used to resolve this market, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return calculated as the percentage change between the closing price for the final trading day of the specified week and the closing price for the corresponding day of the previous week (e.g. if the final trading day of the specified week is a Thursday, the closing price of the previous Thursday will be used to calculate the trailing 1 week percentage return). The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week. The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If all indices perform exactly the same over that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to “Other”. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If any of the relevant days lack a specified price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price for that day. Updates to historical prices displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

This market will resolve according to the index that performs best for the week beginning November 24, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index, and the S&P 500.

The resolution source for the Warren Buffett Index ("Buffett") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360

Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period.

The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680

Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period.

The resolution source for S&P 500 ("SPX") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices

Information from the "Historical Prices" table will be used to resolve this market, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return calculated as the percentage change between the closing price for the final trading day of the specified week and the closing price for the corresponding day of the previous week (e.g. if the final trading day of the specified week is a Thursday, the closing price of the previous Thursday will be used to calculate the trailing 1 week percentage return).

The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week. The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner.

Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If all indices perform exactly the same over that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to “Other”.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If any of the relevant days lack a specified price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price for that day.

Updates to historical prices displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.
Volume
$1,994
End Date
Nov 28, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 21, 2025, 1:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the index that performs best for the week beginning November 24, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index, and the S&P 500. The resolution source for the Warren Buffett Index ("Buffett") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for S&P 500 ("SPX") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices Information from the "Historical Prices" table will be used to resolve this market, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return calculated as the percentage change between the closing price for the final trading day of the specified week and the closing price for the corresponding day of the previous week (e.g. if the final trading day of the specified week is a Thursday, the closing price of the previous Thursday will be used to calculate the trailing 1 week percentage return). The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week. The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If all indices perform exactly the same over that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to “Other”. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If any of the relevant days lack a specified price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price for that day. Updates to historical prices displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the index that performs best for the week beginning November 24, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index, and the S&P 500. The resolution source for the Warren Buffett Index ("Buffett") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for S&P 500 ("SPX") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices Information from the "Historical Prices" table will be used to resolve this market, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return calculated as the percentage change between the closing price for the final trading day of the specified week and the closing price for the corresponding day of the previous week (e.g. if the final trading day of the specified week is a Thursday, the closing price of the previous Thursday will be used to calculate the trailing 1 week percentage return). The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week. The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If all indices perform exactly the same over that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to “Other”. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If any of the relevant days lack a specified price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price for that day. Updates to historical prices displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

This market will resolve according to the index that performs best for the week beginning November 24, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index, and the S&P 500.

The resolution source for the Warren Buffett Index ("Buffett") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360

Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period.

The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680

Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period.

The resolution source for S&P 500 ("SPX") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices

Information from the "Historical Prices" table will be used to resolve this market, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return calculated as the percentage change between the closing price for the final trading day of the specified week and the closing price for the corresponding day of the previous week (e.g. if the final trading day of the specified week is a Thursday, the closing price of the previous Thursday will be used to calculate the trailing 1 week percentage return).

The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week. The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner.

Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If all indices perform exactly the same over that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to “Other”.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If any of the relevant days lack a specified price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price for that day.

Updates to historical prices displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.
Volume
$1,994
End Date
Nov 28, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 21, 2025, 1:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the index that performs best for the week beginning November 24, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index, and the S&P 500. The resolution source for the Warren Buffett Index ("Buffett") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1 week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for S&P 500 ("SPX") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices Information from the "Historical Prices" table will be used to resolve this market, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return calculated as the percentage change between the closing price for the final trading day of the specified week and the closing price for the corresponding day of the previous week (e.g. if the final trading day of the specified week is a Thursday, the closing price of the previous Thursday will be used to calculate the trailing 1 week percentage return). The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week. The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If all indices perform exactly the same over that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to “Other”. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If any of the relevant days lack a specified price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price for that day. Updates to historical prices displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Warren Buffett vs Bill Ackman vs S&P 500: Week of November 24" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ackman" at 100%, followed by "SPX" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Warren Buffett vs Bill Ackman vs S&P 500: Week of November 24" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 21, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Warren Buffett vs Bill Ackman vs S&P 500: Week of November 24," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Warren Buffett vs Bill Ackman vs S&P 500: Week of November 24" is "Ackman" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SPX" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Warren Buffett vs Bill Ackman vs S&P 500: Week of November 24" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.