US bank failure by...?
$98,645 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT

September 30
$57,563 Vol.
No

September 30
$57,563 Vol.
No

October 31
$41,082 Vol.
No

October 31
$41,082 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between September 12, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within the listed date range. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's date range and FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within the listed date range. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's date range and FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Volume
$98,645
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$98,645 Vol.
US bank failure by...?

September 30
$57,563 Vol.
No

October 31
$41,082 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$98,645
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Resolver
0x65070BE91...


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