Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a sub-$5 million opening weekend for "They Will Kill You," driven by dismal pre-release tracking, anemic $1 million Thursday previews, and a soft $2.3 million Friday that confirmed fears of a flop amid stiff competition from holdover hits like "Project Hail Mary" ($54.5 million second frame) and "Hoppers." The Warner Bros. horror-comedy, starring Zazie Beetz and directed by Kirill Sokolov, suffered from lackluster presales in 2,778 theaters despite mixed-positive reviews (63% critics, 80% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and SXSW buzz that failed to ignite word-of-mouth. Final tallies due Monday could nudge it over if walkups materialized, but current estimates peg it at $4.97 million—locking in the underperformance barring an unlikely surge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 100.0%
5-6m <1%
6-7m <1%
7-8m <1%
$263,914 Vol.
$263,914 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
Yes
5-6m
No
6-7m
No
7-8m
No
>8m
No
<5m 100.0%
5-6m <1%
6-7m <1%
7-8m <1%
$263,914 Vol.
$263,914 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$75,463 Vol.
Yes
5-6m
$63,906 Vol.
No
6-7m
$33,238 Vol.
No
7-8m
$26,912 Vol.
No
>8m
$64,395 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a sub-$5 million opening weekend for "They Will Kill You," driven by dismal pre-release tracking, anemic $1 million Thursday previews, and a soft $2.3 million Friday that confirmed fears of a flop amid stiff competition from holdover hits like "Project Hail Mary" ($54.5 million second frame) and "Hoppers." The Warner Bros. horror-comedy, starring Zazie Beetz and directed by Kirill Sokolov, suffered from lackluster presales in 2,778 theaters despite mixed-positive reviews (63% critics, 80% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and SXSW buzz that failed to ignite word-of-mouth. Final tallies due Monday could nudge it over if walkups materialized, but current estimates peg it at $4.97 million—locking in the underperformance barring an unlikely surge.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volume
$263,914End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a sub-$5 million opening weekend for "They Will Kill You," driven by dismal pre-release tracking, anemic $1 million Thursday previews, and a soft $2.3 million Friday that confirmed fears of a flop amid stiff competition from holdover hits like "Project Hail Mary" ($54.5 million second frame) and "Hoppers." The Warner Bros. horror-comedy, starring Zazie Beetz and directed by Kirill Sokolov, suffered from lackluster presales in 2,778 theaters despite mixed-positive reviews (63% critics, 80% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and SXSW buzz that failed to ignite word-of-mouth. Final tallies due Monday could nudge it over if walkups materialized, but current estimates peg it at $4.97 million—locking in the underperformance barring an unlikely surge.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$263,914End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a sub-$5 million opening weekend for "They Will Kill You," driven by dismal pre-release tracking, anemic $1 million Thursday previews, and a soft $2.3 million Friday that confirmed fears of a flop amid stiff competition from holdover hits like "Project Hail Mary" ($54.5 million second frame) and "Hoppers." The Warner Bros. horror-comedy, starring Zazie Beetz and directed by Kirill Sokolov, suffered from lackluster presales in 2,778 theaters despite mixed-positive reviews (63% critics, 80% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and SXSW buzz that failed to ignite word-of-mouth. Final tallies due Monday could nudge it over if walkups materialized, but current estimates peg it at $4.97 million—locking in the underperformance barring an unlikely surge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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