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The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actress - Film

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The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actress - Film

Jessie Buckley 100.0%

Rose Byrne <1%

Lucy Liu <1%

Emma Stone <1%

Polymarket

$101,813 Vol.

Jessie Buckley 100.0%

Rose Byrne <1%

Lucy Liu <1%

Emma Stone <1%

Polymarket

$101,813 Vol.

Rose Byrne

$8,286 Vol.

No

Lucy Liu

$11,144 Vol.

No

Emma Stone

$8,739 Vol.

No

Jessie Buckley

$30,074 Vol.

Yes

Kate Hudson

$10,682 Vol.

No

Cynthia Erivo

$739 Vol.

No

Teyana Taylor

$3,774 Vol.

No

Odessa A'zion

$8,224 Vol.

No

Chase Infiniti

$5,715 Vol.

No

Renate Reinsve

$6,620 Vol.

No

Gwyneth Paltrow

$7,816 Vol.

No

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actress whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101,813
End Date
Mar 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actress whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actress - Film" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jessie Buckley" at 100%, followed by "Rose Byrne" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actress - Film" has generated $101.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actress - Film," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actress - Film" is "Jessie Buckley" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rose Byrne" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actress - Film" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.