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The Actor Awards Nominations: Best Actor - Film

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The Actor Awards Nominations: Best Actor - Film

$7,499 Vol.

Jan 7, 2026
Polymarket

$7,499 Vol.

Polymarket

Leonardo DiCaprio

$2,465 Vol.

Yes

Ethan Hawke

$1,263 Vol.

Yes

Wagner Moura

$752 Vol.

No

Timothée Chalamet

$2,567 Vol.

Yes

Joel Edgerton

$110 Vol.

No

Michael B. Jordan

$342 Vol.

Yes

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no nominations are announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,499
End Date
Jan 7, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no nominations are announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"The Actor Awards Nominations: Best Actor - Film" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Leonardo DiCaprio" at 100%, followed by "Ethan Hawke" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"The Actor Awards Nominations: Best Actor - Film" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "The Actor Awards Nominations: Best Actor - Film," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Actor Awards Nominations: Best Actor - Film" is "Leonardo DiCaprio" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ethan Hawke" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Actor Awards Nominations: Best Actor - Film" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.