Market icon

Survivor 50 Winner

Market icon

Survivor 50 Winner

Aubry Bracco 87%

Cirie Fields 6.2%

Ozzy Lusth 1.6%

Rizo Velovic 1.3%

Polymarket

$835,802 Vol.

Aubry Bracco 87%

Cirie Fields 6.2%

Ozzy Lusth 1.6%

Rizo Velovic 1.3%

Polymarket

$835,802 Vol.

Aubry Bracco

$96,661 Vol.

87%

Cirie Fields

$30,343 Vol.

6%

Ozzy Lusth

$49,376 Vol.

2%

Rizo Velovic

$68,201 Vol.

1%

Joe Hunter

$48,276 Vol.

1%

Jonathan Young

$33,339 Vol.

1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$29,926 Vol.

1%

Christian Hubicki

$54,387 Vol.

<1%

Dee Valladares

$61,163 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

$19,605 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Davis

$38,848 Vol.

<1%

Emily Flippen

$23,264 Vol.

<1%

Jenna Lewis-Dougherty

$27,827 Vol.

<1%

Mike White

$48,073 Vol.

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$16,557 Vol.

<1%

Genevieve Mushaluk

$21,934 Vol.

<1%

Kamilla Karthigesu

$34,811 Vol.

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$27,646 Vol.

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$23,943 Vol.

<1%

Rick Devens

$23,019 Vol.

<1%

Savannah Louie

$22,702 Vol.

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$20,658 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

$15,244 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Fraser

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco's dominant strategic gameplay and standout winner's edit in recent Survivor 50 episodes—including securing a hidden immunity idol right after her bag search and emerging unscathed from Episode 6's historic triple elimination—have propelled her to an 87.5% implied probability as the frontrunner on Polymarket. Traders view her calm jury management and visibility as hallmarks of past victors, with Cirie Fields at 6.2% buoyed by her enduring social prowess and Ozzy Lusth's challenge threats trailing far behind. As the jury phase unfolds with 14 players merged earlier this week, impending immunity wins and tribal blindsides remain key swing factors before the spring 2026 finale.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$835,802
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco's dominant strategic gameplay and standout winner's edit in recent Survivor 50 episodes—including securing a hidden immunity idol right after her bag search and emerging unscathed from Episode 6's historic triple elimination—have propelled her to an 87.5% implied probability as the frontrunner on Polymarket. Traders view her calm jury management and visibility as hallmarks of past victors, with Cirie Fields at 6.2% buoyed by her enduring social prowess and Ozzy Lusth's challenge threats trailing far behind. As the jury phase unfolds with 14 players merged earlier this week, impending immunity wins and tribal blindsides remain key swing factors before the spring 2026 finale.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$835,802
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Survivor 50 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aubry Bracco" at 87%, followed by "Cirie Fields" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Survivor 50 Winner" has generated $835.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Survivor 50 Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Survivor 50 Winner" is "Aubry Bracco" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cirie Fields" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Survivor 50 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.