Trader consensus prices TISZA securing 110–130 seats in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with 130+ edging out at 26.5%, reflecting recent independent polls like Medián's March survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz's 35% among decided voters—projecting over 100 of 106 single-member districts—yet tempered by the majoritarian system's incumbent advantages and Fidesz rural strongholds. Pro-government polls such as Nézőpont claim Fidesz leads, highlighting polling discrepancies and undecided voters keeping outcomes tight. Final separation could stem from turnout in battlegrounds, last-minute scandals, or campaign momentum from Péter Magyar's rallies versus Viktor Orbán's Peace March, amid Orbán fatigue driving TISZA's surge with younger voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
130+ 26%
120-129 23%
110–119 18%
90–99 11%
$233,887 Vol.
$233,887 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<70
6%
70–79
2%
80–89
9%
90–99
11%
100–109
10%
110–119
18%
120-129
23%
130+
26%
130+ 26%
120-129 23%
110–119 18%
90–99 11%
$233,887 Vol.
$233,887 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<70
$175,330 Vol.
6%
70–79
$3,516 Vol.
2%
80–89
$3,969 Vol.
9%
90–99
$11,351 Vol.
11%
100–109
$7,710 Vol.
10%
110–119
$6,242 Vol.
18%
120-129
$5,293 Vol.
23%
130+
$20,477 Vol.
26%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus prices TISZA securing 110–130 seats in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with 130+ edging out at 26.5%, reflecting recent independent polls like Medián's March survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz's 35% among decided voters—projecting over 100 of 106 single-member districts—yet tempered by the majoritarian system's incumbent advantages and Fidesz rural strongholds. Pro-government polls such as Nézőpont claim Fidesz leads, highlighting polling discrepancies and undecided voters keeping outcomes tight. Final separation could stem from turnout in battlegrounds, last-minute scandals, or campaign momentum from Péter Magyar's rallies versus Viktor Orbán's Peace March, amid Orbán fatigue driving TISZA's surge with younger voters.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$233,887End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus prices TISZA securing 110–130 seats in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with 130+ edging out at 26.5%, reflecting recent independent polls like Medián's March survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz's 35% among decided voters—projecting over 100 of 106 single-member districts—yet tempered by the majoritarian system's incumbent advantages and Fidesz rural strongholds. Pro-government polls such as Nézőpont claim Fidesz leads, highlighting polling discrepancies and undecided voters keeping outcomes tight. Final separation could stem from turnout in battlegrounds, last-minute scandals, or campaign momentum from Péter Magyar's rallies versus Viktor Orbán's Peace March, amid Orbán fatigue driving TISZA's surge with younger voters.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$233,887End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices TISZA securing 110–130 seats in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with 130+ edging out at 26.5%, reflecting recent independent polls like Medián's March survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz's 35% among decided voters—projecting over 100 of 106 single-member districts—yet tempered by the majoritarian system's incumbent advantages and Fidesz rural strongholds. Pro-government polls such as Nézőpont claim Fidesz leads, highlighting polling discrepancies and undecided voters keeping outcomes tight. Final separation could stem from turnout in battlegrounds, last-minute scandals, or campaign momentum from Péter Magyar's rallies versus Viktor Orbán's Peace March, amid Orbán fatigue driving TISZA's surge with younger voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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