Trader consensus on Polymarket solidly prices TSA passenger throughput for March 20 at 2.6M-2.8M, driven by consistent daily screening volumes in recent TSA reports—March 19 at 2.78 million, March 18 at 2.65 million, and prior weekdays hovering around 2.7 million amid steady spring break air travel demand. Absent major disruptions like severe weather or airline cancellations, this mid-week pattern aligns with historical averages for the period, reflecting stable post-winter recovery in U.S. airport traffic. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected East Coast storms reducing volumes below 2.6 million or a sudden surge in last-minute bookings pushing above 2.8 million, though current trends and forecasts suggest low probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2.6M-2.8M 100.0%
<2.4M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<2.4M
No
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
Yes
2.8M-3.0M
No
3.0M-3.2M
No
>3.2M
No
2.6M-2.8M 100.0%
<2.4M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<2.4M
No
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
Yes
2.8M-3.0M
No
3.0M-3.2M
No
>3.2M
No
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket solidly prices TSA passenger throughput for March 20 at 2.6M-2.8M, driven by consistent daily screening volumes in recent TSA reports—March 19 at 2.78 million, March 18 at 2.65 million, and prior weekdays hovering around 2.7 million amid steady spring break air travel demand. Absent major disruptions like severe weather or airline cancellations, this mid-week pattern aligns with historical averages for the period, reflecting stable post-winter recovery in U.S. airport traffic. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected East Coast storms reducing volumes below 2.6 million or a sudden surge in last-minute bookings pushing above 2.8 million, though current trends and forecasts suggest low probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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