Market icon

Next James Bond actor?

Market icon

Next James Bond actor?

Other 99.3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Henry Cavill <1%

Rege-Jean Page <1%

Polymarket

$1,558,263 Vol.

Other 99.3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Henry Cavill <1%

Rege-Jean Page <1%

Polymarket

$1,558,263 Vol.

Market icon

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$220,558 Vol.

No

Market icon

Henry Cavill

$329,246 Vol.

No

Market icon

Damson Idris

$97,541 Vol.

No

Market icon

Rege-Jean Page

$163,226 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tom Hardy

$128,348 Vol.

No

Market icon

James Norton

$187,469 Vol.

No

Market icon

Cosmo Jarvis

$337,809 Vol.

No

Market icon

Other

$94,067 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aaron Taylor-Johnson is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Barbara Broccoli, EON productions or the James Bond Franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,558,263
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Created At
Mar 19, 2024, 2:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aaron Taylor-Johnson is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Barbara Broccoli, EON productions or the James Bond Franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other" at 100%, followed by "Aaron Taylor-Johnson" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Other" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aaron Taylor-Johnson" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.