Trader consensus favors Philadelphia Phillies lefty Cristopher Sanchez at 28% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, closely trailed by Pittsburgh Pirates ace Paul Skenes at 24.5%, reflecting their breakout 2024 campaigns—Sanchez's 3.32 ERA over 166 innings and Skenes' rookie dominance with 170 strikeouts in 133 frames, placing third in voting. Milwaukee Brewers prospects Jacob Misiorowski (15.3%) and returning Brandon Woodruff (13.4%) highlight the NL Central's pitching depth, bolstered by Woodruff's injury recovery and Misiorowski's minor-league strikeout prowess. The bunched top tier underscores uncertainty two seasons out, with health questions for veterans like Dodgers' Yoshinobu Yamamoto (10.5%) and Braves' Spencer Strider (9.2%), plus Shohei Ohtani's pitching return, keeping the race wide open amid potential trades and rotations shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCristopher Sanchez 26%
Paul Skenes 24%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 11%
Freddy Peralta 9.9%
$10,070 Vol.
$10,070 Vol.
Cristopher Sanchez
26%
Paul Skenes
24%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
11%
Freddy Peralta
10%
Shohei Ohtani
9%
Spencer Strider
9%
Eury Perez
8%
Jesus Luzardo
8%
Zack Wheeler
7%
Chris Sale
7%
Nick Pivetta
6%
Michael King
6%
Hunter Greene
9%
Blake Snell
5%
Tyler Glasnow
5%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Logan Webb
2%
Mitch Keller
2%
Nolan McLean
9%
Brandon Woodruff
13%
Jacob Misiorowski
7%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
Cristopher Sanchez 26%
Paul Skenes 24%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 11%
Freddy Peralta 9.9%
$10,070 Vol.
$10,070 Vol.
Cristopher Sanchez
26%
Paul Skenes
24%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
11%
Freddy Peralta
10%
Shohei Ohtani
9%
Spencer Strider
9%
Eury Perez
8%
Jesus Luzardo
8%
Zack Wheeler
7%
Chris Sale
7%
Nick Pivetta
6%
Michael King
6%
Hunter Greene
9%
Blake Snell
5%
Tyler Glasnow
5%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Logan Webb
2%
Mitch Keller
2%
Nolan McLean
9%
Brandon Woodruff
13%
Jacob Misiorowski
7%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Philadelphia Phillies lefty Cristopher Sanchez at 28% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, closely trailed by Pittsburgh Pirates ace Paul Skenes at 24.5%, reflecting their breakout 2024 campaigns—Sanchez's 3.32 ERA over 166 innings and Skenes' rookie dominance with 170 strikeouts in 133 frames, placing third in voting. Milwaukee Brewers prospects Jacob Misiorowski (15.3%) and returning Brandon Woodruff (13.4%) highlight the NL Central's pitching depth, bolstered by Woodruff's injury recovery and Misiorowski's minor-league strikeout prowess. The bunched top tier underscores uncertainty two seasons out, with health questions for veterans like Dodgers' Yoshinobu Yamamoto (10.5%) and Braves' Spencer Strider (9.2%), plus Shohei Ohtani's pitching return, keeping the race wide open amid potential trades and rotations shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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