Trader consensus slightly favors Philadelphia Phillies left-hander Cristopher Sanchez at 26% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, edging Pittsburgh Pirates ace Paul Skenes at 23.5%, due to Sanchez's breakout 2024 campaign featuring a 3.32 ERA, 181.2 innings pitched, and All-Star nod showcasing workload durability over Skenes' electric rookie year (1.96 ERA, 170 strikeouts in 133 IP). Milwaukee Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (14.6%) surges on triple-digit velocity and dominant minor-league stats, while Brandon Woodruff's (13.1%) injury return adds intrigue alongside Freddy Peralta's consistency. The tight clustering reflects the NL's deep rotation talent pool, youth upside, health uncertainties for arms like Spencer Strider and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and undefined 2025-26 rotations amid early offseason stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCristopher Sanchez 26%
Paul Skenes 24%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 11%
Freddy Peralta 9.9%
$10,404 Vol.
$10,404 Vol.
Cristopher Sanchez
26%
Paul Skenes
24%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
11%
Freddy Peralta
10%
Shohei Ohtani
9%
Spencer Strider
9%
Jesus Luzardo
8%
Zack Wheeler
7%
Chris Sale
7%
Nick Pivetta
6%
Michael King
6%
Hunter Greene
9%
Blake Snell
5%
Tyler Glasnow
5%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Logan Webb
2%
Mitch Keller
2%
Nolan McLean
9%
Eury Perez
7%
Brandon Woodruff
14%
Jacob Misiorowski
15%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
Cristopher Sanchez 26%
Paul Skenes 24%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 11%
Freddy Peralta 9.9%
$10,404 Vol.
$10,404 Vol.
Cristopher Sanchez
26%
Paul Skenes
24%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
11%
Freddy Peralta
10%
Shohei Ohtani
9%
Spencer Strider
9%
Jesus Luzardo
8%
Zack Wheeler
7%
Chris Sale
7%
Nick Pivetta
6%
Michael King
6%
Hunter Greene
9%
Blake Snell
5%
Tyler Glasnow
5%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Logan Webb
2%
Mitch Keller
2%
Nolan McLean
9%
Eury Perez
7%
Brandon Woodruff
14%
Jacob Misiorowski
15%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Philadelphia Phillies left-hander Cristopher Sanchez at 26% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, edging Pittsburgh Pirates ace Paul Skenes at 23.5%, due to Sanchez's breakout 2024 campaign featuring a 3.32 ERA, 181.2 innings pitched, and All-Star nod showcasing workload durability over Skenes' electric rookie year (1.96 ERA, 170 strikeouts in 133 IP). Milwaukee Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (14.6%) surges on triple-digit velocity and dominant minor-league stats, while Brandon Woodruff's (13.1%) injury return adds intrigue alongside Freddy Peralta's consistency. The tight clustering reflects the NL's deep rotation talent pool, youth upside, health uncertainties for arms like Spencer Strider and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and undefined 2025-26 rotations amid early offseason stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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