National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecast a high temperature of 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, anchoring trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability for 67°F or below amid cloudy skies and possible showers limiting solar heating. A persistent upper-level trough over the Northeast is steering cooler Canadian air southward, suppressing temperatures below recent milder trends, with the past 48 hours' model runs converging tightly on this range after earlier slight warm biases faded. Climatological normals hover around 57°F for early April, contextualizing the mild but capped outlook; inherent forecast uncertainty persists in ensemble spreads of 5-10°F, hinging on cloud trends and boundary layer mixing. Key updates expected from 12Z model cycles and NWS refinements by April 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on April 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 5?
67°F or below 68%
68-69°F 16%
70-71°F 12%
72-73°F 6%
NEW
$12,065 Vol.
NEW
$12,065 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
67°F or below
68%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
1%
67°F or below 68%
68-69°F 16%
70-71°F 12%
72-73°F 6%
NEW
$12,065 Vol.
NEW
$12,065 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
67°F or below
$1,703 Vol.
68%
68-69°F
$1,366 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$886 Vol.
12%
72-73°F
$788 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$829 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$1,116 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$1,277 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,114 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$809 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,061 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecast a high temperature of 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, anchoring trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability for 67°F or below amid cloudy skies and possible showers limiting solar heating. A persistent upper-level trough over the Northeast is steering cooler Canadian air southward, suppressing temperatures below recent milder trends, with the past 48 hours' model runs converging tightly on this range after earlier slight warm biases faded. Climatological normals hover around 57°F for early April, contextualizing the mild but capped outlook; inherent forecast uncertainty persists in ensemble spreads of 5-10°F, hinging on cloud trends and boundary layer mixing. Key updates expected from 12Z model cycles and NWS refinements by April 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$12,065End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecast a high temperature of 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, anchoring trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability for 67°F or below amid cloudy skies and possible showers limiting solar heating. A persistent upper-level trough over the Northeast is steering cooler Canadian air southward, suppressing temperatures below recent milder trends, with the past 48 hours' model runs converging tightly on this range after earlier slight warm biases faded. Climatological normals hover around 57°F for early April, contextualizing the mild but capped outlook; inherent forecast uncertainty persists in ensemble spreads of 5-10°F, hinging on cloud trends and boundary layer mixing. Key updates expected from 12Z model cycles and NWS refinements by April 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,065End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecast a high temperature of 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, anchoring trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability for 67°F or below amid cloudy skies and possible showers limiting solar heating. A persistent upper-level trough over the Northeast is steering cooler Canadian air southward, suppressing temperatures below recent milder trends, with the past 48 hours' model runs converging tightly on this range after earlier slight warm biases faded. Climatological normals hover around 57°F for early April, contextualizing the mild but capped outlook; inherent forecast uncertainty persists in ensemble spreads of 5-10°F, hinging on cloud trends and boundary layer mixing. Key updates expected from 12Z model cycles and NWS refinements by April 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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