Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43% probability for Milan's highest temperature reaching 21°C on April 3, closely tracking the Aeronautica Militare's official forecast of a 21°C peak amid stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley. ARPA Lombardia's latest bulletin highlights further warming after today's observed plains highs near 18°C at Milano Linate Airport, fueled by an Atlantic promontory delivering clear skies, light westerly winds, and enhanced solar insolation from mild Mediterranean air masses. Numerical models like ICON show consensus in the 20-22°C range, exceeding early April climatological averages of 17-18°C, though slight uncertainty persists from potential veiling clouds or peak-hour timing; traders await final observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
21°C 43%
20°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C or higher 4.9%
$21,148 Vol.
$21,148 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
26%
21°C
43%
22°C
25%
23°C or higher
5%
21°C 43%
20°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C or higher 4.9%
$21,148 Vol.
$21,148 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
26%
21°C
43%
22°C
25%
23°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43% probability for Milan's highest temperature reaching 21°C on April 3, closely tracking the Aeronautica Militare's official forecast of a 21°C peak amid stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley. ARPA Lombardia's latest bulletin highlights further warming after today's observed plains highs near 18°C at Milano Linate Airport, fueled by an Atlantic promontory delivering clear skies, light westerly winds, and enhanced solar insolation from mild Mediterranean air masses. Numerical models like ICON show consensus in the 20-22°C range, exceeding early April climatological averages of 17-18°C, though slight uncertainty persists from potential veiling clouds or peak-hour timing; traders await final observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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