Latest forecast models, including those aggregated on major platforms like Weather.com, project a high of 89°F in Los Angeles on April 4 under partly cloudy skies, driving trader consensus toward 80°F or higher at 51.5% implied probability. This reflects a warming trend from recent observations—yesterday's 77°F high and Friday's anticipated 83°F—amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Southwest, promoting downslope warming and reduced marine layer influence typical in early April. Historical April averages hover around 72-74°F per NOAA climatology, making above-normal temperatures plausible with neutral ENSO conditions favoring drier, warmer setups. Uncertainty remains from potential onshore flow shifts; watch National Weather Service updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs by tomorrow for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
80°F or higher 54%
78-79°F 15%
74-75°F 8%
76-77°F 8%
$12,883 Vol.
$12,883 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
15%
80°F or higher
54%
80°F or higher 54%
78-79°F 15%
74-75°F 8%
76-77°F 8%
$12,883 Vol.
$12,883 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
15%
80°F or higher
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models, including those aggregated on major platforms like Weather.com, project a high of 89°F in Los Angeles on April 4 under partly cloudy skies, driving trader consensus toward 80°F or higher at 51.5% implied probability. This reflects a warming trend from recent observations—yesterday's 77°F high and Friday's anticipated 83°F—amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Southwest, promoting downslope warming and reduced marine layer influence typical in early April. Historical April averages hover around 72-74°F per NOAA climatology, making above-normal temperatures plausible with neutral ENSO conditions favoring drier, warmer setups. Uncertainty remains from potential onshore flow shifts; watch National Weather Service updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs by tomorrow for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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