High-confidence weather forecasts from China's national meteorological services and global models like ECMWF pinpoint Chongqing's March 24 high at precisely 18°C, driving the market's unanimous trader consensus. Recent observations show mild spring conditions with daytime highs stabilizing around this level amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover, aligning with historical March averages of 16-19°C for the region. Ensemble predictions exhibit tight convergence, minimizing variance. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from clearing skies or a sudden warm advection event, though current upper-air patterns suggest low likelihood, keeping upside risks for 19°C or higher under 1%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
High-confidence weather forecasts from China's national meteorological services and global models like ECMWF pinpoint Chongqing's March 24 high at precisely 18°C, driving the market's unanimous trader consensus. Recent observations show mild spring conditions with daytime highs stabilizing around this level amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover, aligning with historical March averages of 16-19°C for the region. Ensemble predictions exhibit tight convergence, minimizing variance. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from clearing skies or a sudden warm advection event, though current upper-air patterns suggest low likelihood, keeping upside risks for 19°C or higher under 1%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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