Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature at Ministro Pistarini International Airport on April 5, with SMN guidance pointing to a 21°C maximum under overcast skies and gusts up to 50 km/h, following a record April heatwave that saw 24.1°C minima on April 1. GFS and ECMWF ensembles cluster mild highs around 19–21°C amid seasonal autumn cooling and an advancing cold front, but subtle divergences in cloud cover timing, frontal speed, and low-level wind shear could suppress peaks by 1–2°C via reduced solar insolation and enhanced vertical mixing. New model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 5?
19°C 35%
21°C 27%
20°C 21%
22°C 13%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
12%
19°C
29%
20°C
21%
21°C
27%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 35%
21°C 27%
20°C 21%
22°C 13%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
12%
19°C
29%
20°C
21%
21°C
27%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature at Ministro Pistarini International Airport on April 5, with SMN guidance pointing to a 21°C maximum under overcast skies and gusts up to 50 km/h, following a record April heatwave that saw 24.1°C minima on April 1. GFS and ECMWF ensembles cluster mild highs around 19–21°C amid seasonal autumn cooling and an advancing cold front, but subtle divergences in cloud cover timing, frontal speed, and low-level wind shear could suppress peaks by 1–2°C via reduced solar insolation and enhanced vertical mixing. New model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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