Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11–12°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 3, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means converging near 12.5°C at Esenboğa International Airport, reflecting the latest short-range model guidance amid a cool northerly airflow. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts light rain and breezy northerlies, promoting cloud cover and cooler air advection that suppress daytime heating in Ankara's continental climate, where early April highs typically average 14–16°C. Tight odds between 11°C and 12°C stem from model spreads over exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence—persistent showers favor the lower outcome, while breaks in coverage could nudge toward 13°C. Watch MGM hourly updates tomorrow for resolution-defining observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
12°C 36%
11°C 29%
13°C 17%
14°C 10%
$20,206 Vol.
$20,206 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
7%
11°C
29%
12°C
36%
13°C
17%
14°C
10%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 36%
11°C 29%
13°C 17%
14°C 10%
$20,206 Vol.
$20,206 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
7%
11°C
29%
12°C
36%
13°C
17%
14°C
10%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11–12°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 3, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means converging near 12.5°C at Esenboğa International Airport, reflecting the latest short-range model guidance amid a cool northerly airflow. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts light rain and breezy northerlies, promoting cloud cover and cooler air advection that suppress daytime heating in Ankara's continental climate, where early April highs typically average 14–16°C. Tight odds between 11°C and 12°C stem from model spreads over exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence—persistent showers favor the lower outcome, while breaks in coverage could nudge toward 13°C. Watch MGM hourly updates tomorrow for resolution-defining observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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