Helene landfall at what category?
≥4 100.0%
≤1 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$116,588 Vol.
$116,588 Vol.
Oct 15, 2024
≤1
$19,830 Vol.
No
≤1
$19,830 Vol.
No
2
$17,505 Vol.
No
2
$17,505 Vol.
No
3
$41,115 Vol.
No
3
$41,115 Vol.
No
≥4
$38,139 Vol.
Yes
≥4
$38,139 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Helene first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 1 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/HELENE.shtml).
If Helene is not officially reported to be Category 1 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".
If Helene dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".
For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Helene has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 1 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Helene first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 1 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/HELENE.shtml).
If Helene is not officially reported to be Category 1 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".
If Helene dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".
For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Helene has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 1 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
If Helene is not officially reported to be Category 1 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".
If Helene dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".
For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Helene has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 1 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Created At: Sep 25, 2024, 2:34 PM ET
Volume
$116,588End Date
Oct 15, 2024Created At
Sep 25, 2024, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Helene landfall at what category?
≥4 100.0%
≤1 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$116,588 Vol.
$116,588 Vol.
Oct 15, 2024
≤1
$19,830 Vol.
No
2
$17,505 Vol.
No
3
$41,115 Vol.
No
≥4
$38,139 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$116,588End Date
Oct 15, 2024Created At
Sep 25, 2024, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.