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Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

$776,836 Vol.

>99% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the Charlie Kirk shooter, Tyler Robinson, was a lone actor - namely he did not work with others in planning and/or perpetrating this act.

This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed the shooter worked with others.

If it is confirmed that Tyler Robinson was not the Charlie Kirk shooter, or the investigation into him is otherwise entirely dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once there have been statements from the relevant law enforcement agencies confirming whether the shooter acted alone or not. If there has been no definitive statement by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what law enforcement believe was most likely.

Volume

$776,836

End Date

Oct 31, 2025

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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$776,836 Vol.

Market icon

Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

>99% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the Charlie Kirk shooter, Tyler Robinson, was a lone actor - namely he did not work with others in planning and/or perpetrating this act.

This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed the shooter worked with others.

If it is confirmed that Tyler Robinson was not the Charlie Kirk shooter, or the investigation into him is otherwise entirely dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once there have been statements from the relevant law enforcement agencies confirming whether the shooter acted alone or not. If there has been no definitive statement by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what law enforcement believe was most likely.

Volume

$776,836

End Date

Oct 31, 2025

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes