Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Max Verstappen at 28% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year, propelled by his stunning recovery drives like surging from last to P6 through Brazil Grand Prix's torrential rain and carnage, highlighting superior race pace and adaptability. Lewis Hamilton sits at 20% on the back of his gritty late-season podiums and wins at British and Belgian Grands Prix, while George Russell's 19% reflects his masterful defense repelling the pack in Brazil's wet chaos. Trailing at 15% are differentiators like Nico Hulkenberg's maiden podium via Brazil sprint pole, Franco Colapinto's bold rookie overtakes for Williams, and Oliver Bearman's poised Ferrari debut holding off veterans—keeping the field competitive amid post-Abu Dhabi fan clips and award buzz from the 2024 season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLewis Hamilton 28%
Max Verstappen 20%
George Russell 19%
Fernando Alonso 10%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
Max Verstappen
28%
George Russell
19%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Oscar Piastri
9%
Charles Leclerc
15%
Alexander Albon
4%
Kimi Antonelli
12%
Lando Norris
13%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Lewis Hamilton 28%
Max Verstappen 20%
George Russell 19%
Fernando Alonso 10%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
Max Verstappen
28%
George Russell
19%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Oscar Piastri
9%
Charles Leclerc
15%
Alexander Albon
4%
Kimi Antonelli
12%
Lando Norris
13%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Max Verstappen at 28% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year, propelled by his stunning recovery drives like surging from last to P6 through Brazil Grand Prix's torrential rain and carnage, highlighting superior race pace and adaptability. Lewis Hamilton sits at 20% on the back of his gritty late-season podiums and wins at British and Belgian Grands Prix, while George Russell's 19% reflects his masterful defense repelling the pack in Brazil's wet chaos. Trailing at 15% are differentiators like Nico Hulkenberg's maiden podium via Brazil sprint pole, Franco Colapinto's bold rookie overtakes for Williams, and Oliver Bearman's poised Ferrari debut holding off veterans—keeping the field competitive amid post-Abu Dhabi fan clips and award buzz from the 2024 season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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