Rafael Campos dominates trader consensus at 24.6% implied probability, holding a six-shot lead at 19-under after a blistering third-round 63 at the Texas Children's Houston Open, per PGA Tour leaderboard. His hot putter and birdie barrages have separated him from the wide-open field, with no top-10 world golfers closing fast. Min Woo Lee (6.5%) lurks second via elite ballstriking and recent T5 finishes, while Chris Gotterup (5.1%) and Jake Knapp (4.8%) rely on iron accuracy amid putting inconsistencies. Sam Burns (4.5%) brings course history but trails further; final-round pressure at windy Memorial Park could test chasers' resolve against Campos' momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRafael Campos 24.3%
Min Woo Lee 7%
Chris Gotterup 5.1%
Jake Knapp 4.8%
$26,930 Vol.
$26,930 Vol.
Rafael Campos
24%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Jake Knapp
5%
Sam Burns
4%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Kurt Kitayama
3%
Ryan Gerard
3%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Marco Penge
3%
Ben Griffin
3%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Harris English
2%
Taylor Pendrith
2%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Wyndham Clark
2%
Pierceson Coody
2%
Rasmus Hojgaard
2%
Harry Hall
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Jason Day
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
William Mouw
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Denny McCarthy
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
David Lipsky
1%
David Ford
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Henry Lebioda
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Cole Hammer
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Daniel Brown
1%
Trey Mullinax
1%
John Parry
1%
JT Poston
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Luke Clanton
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Nick Dunlap
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Garrick Higgo
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Pontus Nyholm
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
Brian Campbell
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Brice Garnett
1%
Joe Highsmith
1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Davis Riley
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Bronson Burgoon
<1%
Cam Davis
<1%
Mason Howell
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
Rafael Campos 24.3%
Min Woo Lee 7%
Chris Gotterup 5.1%
Jake Knapp 4.8%
$26,930 Vol.
$26,930 Vol.
Rafael Campos
24%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Jake Knapp
5%
Sam Burns
4%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Kurt Kitayama
3%
Ryan Gerard
3%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Marco Penge
3%
Ben Griffin
3%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Harris English
2%
Taylor Pendrith
2%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Wyndham Clark
2%
Pierceson Coody
2%
Rasmus Hojgaard
2%
Harry Hall
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Jason Day
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
William Mouw
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Denny McCarthy
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
David Lipsky
1%
David Ford
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Henry Lebioda
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Cole Hammer
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Daniel Brown
1%
Trey Mullinax
1%
John Parry
1%
JT Poston
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Luke Clanton
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Nick Dunlap
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Garrick Higgo
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Pontus Nyholm
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
Brian Campbell
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Brice Garnett
1%
Joe Highsmith
1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Davis Riley
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Bronson Burgoon
<1%
Cam Davis
<1%
Mason Howell
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rafael Campos dominates trader consensus at 24.6% implied probability, holding a six-shot lead at 19-under after a blistering third-round 63 at the Texas Children's Houston Open, per PGA Tour leaderboard. His hot putter and birdie barrages have separated him from the wide-open field, with no top-10 world golfers closing fast. Min Woo Lee (6.5%) lurks second via elite ballstriking and recent T5 finishes, while Chris Gotterup (5.1%) and Jake Knapp (4.8%) rely on iron accuracy amid putting inconsistencies. Sam Burns (4.5%) brings course history but trails further; final-round pressure at windy Memorial Park could test chasers' resolve against Campos' momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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