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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 35.5%

France 13.5%

Denmark 10.1%

Australia 7.1%

Polymarket

$51,101,709 Vol.

Finland 35.5%

France 13.5%

Denmark 10.1%

Australia 7.1%

Polymarket

$51,101,709 Vol.

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Finland

$1,839,639 Vol.

36%

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France

$1,389,989 Vol.

14%

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Denmark

$901,412 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,177,757 Vol.

7%

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Greece

$1,292,748 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,211,947 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$930,453 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,101,477 Vol.

2%

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Italy

$1,500,044 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$881,251 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,112,458 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,004,775 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$784,536 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,105,570 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$882,064 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,021,298 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,083,542 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$938,636 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,211,646 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$715,021 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,232,058 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,272,414 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,965,013 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,046,545 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,035,543 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,410,369 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,127,780 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,532,951 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,633,957 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,915,196 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$768,042 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,790,045 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,287,757 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,892,584 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,117,646 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 35.4% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, driven by their "Liekinheitin" triumph at UMK on February 28 and sustained momentum from high jury scores, televote energy, and top OGAE fan votes like France's 12 points last week. France's 17-year-old soprano Monroe ("Regarde!"), announced March 6, has climbed to 13.5% on standout live performances boosting her frontrunner status. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før Vi Går Hjem", DMGP winner February 14) and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse", selected March 1) follow at 10.1% and 7.2%, with Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 6.8% gaining televote traction post-official music video drop March 11. As Vienna semis approach May 12-14, pre-parties and remaining national finals could spark shifts in this volatile jury-televote dynamic.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 35.4% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, driven by their "Liekinheitin" triumph at UMK on February 28 and sustained momentum from high jury scores, televote energy, and top OGAE fan votes like France's 12 points last week. France's 17-year-old soprano Monroe ("Regarde!"), announced March 6, has climbed to 13.5% on standout live performances boosting her frontrunner status. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før Vi Går Hjem", DMGP winner February 14) and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse", selected March 1) follow at 10.1% and 7.2%, with Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 6.8% gaining televote traction post-official music video drop March 11. As Vienna semis approach May 12-14, pre-parties and remaining national finals could spark shifts in this volatile jury-televote dynamic.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 35.4% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, driven by their "Liekinheitin" triumph at UMK on February 28 and sustained momentum from high jury scores, televote energy, and top OGAE fan votes like France's 12 points last week. France's 17-year-old soprano Monroe ("Regarde!"), announced March 6, has climbed to 13.5% on standout live performances boosting her frontrunner status. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før Vi Går Hjem", DMGP winner February 14) and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse", selected March 1) follow at 10.1% and 7.2%, with Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 6.8% gaining televote traction post-official music video drop March 11. As Vienna semis approach May 12-14, pre-parties and remaining national finals could spark shifts in this volatile jury-televote dynamic.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 35.4% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, driven by their "Liekinheitin" triumph at UMK on February 28 and sustained momentum from high jury scores, televote energy, and top OGAE fan votes like France's 12 points last week. France's 17-year-old soprano Monroe ("Regarde!"), announced March 6, has climbed to 13.5% on standout live performances boosting her frontrunner status. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før Vi Går Hjem", DMGP winner February 14) and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse", selected March 1) follow at 10.1% and 7.2%, with Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 6.8% gaining televote traction post-official music video drop March 11. As Vienna semis approach May 12-14, pre-parties and remaining national finals could spark shifts in this volatile jury-televote dynamic.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 36%, followed by "France" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $51.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.