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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 35.0%

France 13.1%

Denmark 10.6%

Australia 7.5%

Polymarket

$50,811,633 Vol.

Finland 35.0%

France 13.1%

Denmark 10.6%

Australia 7.5%

Polymarket

$50,811,633 Vol.

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Finland

$1,830,856 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,385,686 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$899,240 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,155,708 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,288,446 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,207,243 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$929,838 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,099,756 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,497,102 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$881,053 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,111,305 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,003,620 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$759,169 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,104,404 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,083,121 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$881,577 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,019,835 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,211,307 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$938,312 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$713,323 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,231,828 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,267,906 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,951,933 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,031,897 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,021,162 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,392,367 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,079,031 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,517,838 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,609,501 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,898,932 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$767,817 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,776,363 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,273,817 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,888,695 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,103,582 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands a dominant 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by their landslide UMK national final victory on February 28—securing top jury and televote scores—and sustained momentum from topping streaming charts, OGAE fan votes, and weekly playlists alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund. France's Monroe follows at 13.1% with "Look!", buoyed by strong jury favoritism and critical buzz, while Denmark holds 10.6% on robust public engagement and chart performance. Australia's entry leads jury odds at 3.5¢ implied, but trader consensus favors Nordic entries' broad appeal amid ongoing national finals, with the May 12-16 contest approaching and televote-heavy dynamics still unpredictable.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands a dominant 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by their landslide UMK national final victory on February 28—securing top jury and televote scores—and sustained momentum from topping streaming charts, OGAE fan votes, and weekly playlists alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund. France's Monroe follows at 13.1% with "Look!", buoyed by strong jury favoritism and critical buzz, while Denmark holds 10.6% on robust public engagement and chart performance. Australia's entry leads jury odds at 3.5¢ implied, but trader consensus favors Nordic entries' broad appeal amid ongoing national finals, with the May 12-16 contest approaching and televote-heavy dynamics still unpredictable.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands a dominant 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by their landslide UMK national final victory on February 28—securing top jury and televote scores—and sustained momentum from topping streaming charts, OGAE fan votes, and weekly playlists alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund. France's Monroe follows at 13.1% with "Look!", buoyed by strong jury favoritism and critical buzz, while Denmark holds 10.6% on robust public engagement and chart performance. Australia's entry leads jury odds at 3.5¢ implied, but trader consensus favors Nordic entries' broad appeal amid ongoing national finals, with the May 12-16 contest approaching and televote-heavy dynamics still unpredictable.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands a dominant 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by their landslide UMK national final victory on February 28—securing top jury and televote scores—and sustained momentum from topping streaming charts, OGAE fan votes, and weekly playlists alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund. France's Monroe follows at 13.1% with "Look!", buoyed by strong jury favoritism and critical buzz, while Denmark holds 10.6% on robust public engagement and chart performance. Australia's entry leads jury odds at 3.5¢ implied, but trader consensus favors Nordic entries' broad appeal amid ongoing national finals, with the May 12-16 contest approaching and televote-heavy dynamics still unpredictable.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $50.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.