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Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

$79,351 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$79,351 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finland

$1,601 Vol.

89%

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Israel

$7,663 Vol.

85%

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Greece

$0 Vol.

80%

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Sweden

$316 Vol.

76%

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France

$9,599 Vol.

76%

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Denmark

$14,592 Vol.

75%

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Ukraine

$447 Vol.

73%

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Australia

$2,656 Vol.

70%

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Italy

$0 Vol.

63%

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Romania

$8,058 Vol.

43%

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Czechia

$0 Vol.

38%

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Moldova

$3,315 Vol.

37%

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Cyprus

$9,561 Vol.

36%

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Bulgaria

$558 Vol.

41%

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Latvia

$541 Vol.

32%

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Malta

$0 Vol.

30%

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Croatia

$2,514 Vol.

26%

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Luxembourg

$0 Vol.

20%

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Norway

$1,294 Vol.

19%

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Albania

$0 Vol.

18%

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United Kingdom

$72 Vol.

18%

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Armenia

$0 Vol.

16%

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Serbia

$0 Vol.

14%

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Switzerland

$1,962 Vol.

14%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

14%

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Lithuania

$9,499 Vol.

13%

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Germany

$3,106 Vol.

12%

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Montenegro

$0 Vol.

12%

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Georgia

$0 Vol.

11%

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Belgium

$648 Vol.

11%

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Azerbaijan

$36 Vol.

9%

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Poland

$1,180 Vol.

13%

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San Marino

$135 Vol.

8%

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Estonia

$0 Vol.

7%

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Austria

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Top 10 market hinges on historical powerhouse nations and the yet-to-be-determined host advantage, with early odds favoring perennial contenders like Sweden, Italy, Ukraine, and France based on recent televote and jury strengths. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, as focus remains on Eurovision 2025 in Basel, Switzerland (May 2025), whose winner will host 2026 and likely secure a top-10 spot via home crowd boost and enhanced staging. National selection processes for 2026 entries kick off late 2025 across participating countries, with Big Five nations (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) auto-qualifying to the final. Watch for early artist announcements and 2025 momentum to shift trader sentiment rapidly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$79,351
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Top 10 market hinges on historical powerhouse nations and the yet-to-be-determined host advantage, with early odds favoring perennial contenders like Sweden, Italy, Ukraine, and France based on recent televote and jury strengths. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, as focus remains on Eurovision 2025 in Basel, Switzerland (May 2025), whose winner will host 2026 and likely secure a top-10 spot via home crowd boost and enhanced staging. National selection processes for 2026 entries kick off late 2025 across participating countries, with Big Five nations (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) auto-qualifying to the final. Watch for early artist announcements and 2025 momentum to shift trader sentiment rapidly.

Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Top 10 market hinges on historical powerhouse nations and the yet-to-be-determined host advantage, with early odds favoring perennial contenders like Sweden, Italy, Ukraine, and France based on recent televote and jury strengths. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, as focus remains on Eurovision 2025 in Basel, Switzerland (May 2025), whose winner will host 2026 and likely secure a top-10 spot via home crowd boost and enhanced staging. National selection processes for 2026 entries kick off late 2025 across participating countries, with Big Five nations (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) auto-qualifying to the final. Watch for early artist announcements and 2025 momentum to shift trader sentiment rapidly.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

20%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

68%
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Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

82%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 89%, followed by "Israel" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" has generated $79.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 10," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is "Finland" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.