Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-299 total tweets for Elon Musk from April 3-10, implying 30-37 posts daily, closely mirroring his recent March 27-April 3 pace of 216 posts at a 31-per-day average amid a quieter period lacking major Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, or political firestorms that historically spike his output to 50-100 daily. Volatility defines the competitive dynamics—recent days swung from single-digit lows (e.g., 8-11) to peaks over 60—keeping 260-279 (16.5%), 240-259 (15.5%), and 280-299 (12.5%) neck-and-neck as swing factors like viral cultural moments, xAI announcements, or X platform drama could jolt volume higher, while sustained lulls favor the lower end before the April 10 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated240-259 16%
260-279 16%
220-239 13%
280-299 13%
$801,793 Vol.
$801,793 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
7%
220-239
13%
240-259
16%
260-279
16%
280-299
13%
300-319
12%
320-339
8%
340-359
7%
360-379
6%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 16%
260-279 16%
220-239 13%
280-299 13%
$801,793 Vol.
$801,793 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
7%
220-239
13%
240-259
16%
260-279
16%
280-299
13%
300-319
12%
320-339
8%
340-359
7%
360-379
6%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-299 total tweets for Elon Musk from April 3-10, implying 30-37 posts daily, closely mirroring his recent March 27-April 3 pace of 216 posts at a 31-per-day average amid a quieter period lacking major Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, or political firestorms that historically spike his output to 50-100 daily. Volatility defines the competitive dynamics—recent days swung from single-digit lows (e.g., 8-11) to peaks over 60—keeping 260-279 (16.5%), 240-259 (15.5%), and 280-299 (12.5%) neck-and-neck as swing factors like viral cultural moments, xAI announcements, or X platform drama could jolt volume higher, while sustained lulls favor the lower end before the April 10 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions