Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward moderate tweet volumes for Elon Musk from April 2-4, 2026, with 65-89 posts leading at 35.5% implied probability closely trailed by 40-64 at 29.5%, mirroring his variable late-March pacing of roughly 25-40 tweets daily as tracked in prior weekly markets like March 30-April 1. This competitive split captures posting fluctuations driven by news cycles—quieter weekdays versus spikes from events—against a March monthly frontrunner implying ~42 per day. Key swing factors include the Starship Version 3 launch targeted for early April, potentially fueling real-time updates and viral engagement, alongside typical weekend dips on April 4 (Saturday). Traders weigh these catalysts against recent Terafab chip buzz fading, highlighting the skin-in-the-game crowd's nuanced read on Musk's social media habits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
65-89 36%
40-64 29%
90-114 21%
115-139 8%
NEW
$54,876 Vol.
NEW
$54,876 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
<40
6%
40-64
29%
65-89
36%
90-114
21%
115-139
8%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 36%
40-64 29%
90-114 21%
115-139 8%
NEW
$54,876 Vol.
NEW
$54,876 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
<40
$5,718 Vol.
6%
40-64
$3,418 Vol.
29%
65-89
$3,260 Vol.
36%
90-114
$3,449 Vol.
21%
115-139
$3,753 Vol.
8%
140-164
$4,918 Vol.
2%
165-189
$4,243 Vol.
1%
190-214
$4,814 Vol.
1%
215-239
$13,887 Vol.
<1%
240+
$7,416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward moderate tweet volumes for Elon Musk from April 2-4, 2026, with 65-89 posts leading at 35.5% implied probability closely trailed by 40-64 at 29.5%, mirroring his variable late-March pacing of roughly 25-40 tweets daily as tracked in prior weekly markets like March 30-April 1. This competitive split captures posting fluctuations driven by news cycles—quieter weekdays versus spikes from events—against a March monthly frontrunner implying ~42 per day. Key swing factors include the Starship Version 3 launch targeted for early April, potentially fueling real-time updates and viral engagement, alongside typical weekend dips on April 4 (Saturday). Traders weigh these catalysts against recent Terafab chip buzz fading, highlighting the skin-in-the-game crowd's nuanced read on Musk's social media habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$54,876End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward moderate tweet volumes for Elon Musk from April 2-4, 2026, with 65-89 posts leading at 35.5% implied probability closely trailed by 40-64 at 29.5%, mirroring his variable late-March pacing of roughly 25-40 tweets daily as tracked in prior weekly markets like March 30-April 1. This competitive split captures posting fluctuations driven by news cycles—quieter weekdays versus spikes from events—against a March monthly frontrunner implying ~42 per day. Key swing factors include the Starship Version 3 launch targeted for early April, potentially fueling real-time updates and viral engagement, alongside typical weekend dips on April 4 (Saturday). Traders weigh these catalysts against recent Terafab chip buzz fading, highlighting the skin-in-the-game crowd's nuanced read on Musk's social media habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$54,876End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward moderate tweet volumes for Elon Musk from April 2-4, 2026, with 65-89 posts leading at 35.5% implied probability closely trailed by 40-64 at 29.5%, mirroring his variable late-March pacing of roughly 25-40 tweets daily as tracked in prior weekly markets like March 30-April 1. This competitive split captures posting fluctuations driven by news cycles—quieter weekdays versus spikes from events—against a March monthly frontrunner implying ~42 per day. Key swing factors include the Starship Version 3 launch targeted for early April, potentially fueling real-time updates and viral engagement, alongside typical weekend dips on April 4 (Saturday). Traders weigh these catalysts against recent Terafab chip buzz fading, highlighting the skin-in-the-game crowd's nuanced read on Musk's social media habits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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