Brazil Presidential Election

Name: Brazil Presidential Election
Start: 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 53%

Flávio Bolsonaro 26.0%

Renan Santos 7.5%

Ratinho Júnior 5.5%

$15,448,967 Vol.

Oct 4, 2026

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$3,131,373 Vol.
53%

Flávio Bolsonaro
$1,982,555 Vol.
26%

Renan Santos
$1,436,148 Vol.
8%

Ratinho Júnior
$1,429,215 Vol.
5%

Tarcisio de Freitas
$2,029,676 Vol.
5%

Fernando Haddad
$1,179,521 Vol.
2%

Jair Bolsonaro
$1,397,629 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
$1,501,761 Vol.
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
$1,361,089 Vol.
<1%

Rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Beware of external links.

Economy·Global Elections

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 53%

Flávio Bolsonaro 26.0%

Renan Santos 7.5%

Ratinho Júnior 5.5%

$15,448,967 Vol.

Oct 4, 2026

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$3,131,373 Vol.

53%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$1,982,555 Vol.

26%

Renan Santos

$1,436,148 Vol.

Ratinho Júnior

$1,429,215 Vol.

Tarcisio de Freitas

$2,029,676 Vol.

Fernando Haddad

$1,179,521 Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro

$1,397,629 Vol.

Michelle Bolsonaro

$1,501,761 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$1,361,089 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$15,448,967

End Date

Oct 4, 2026

Created At

Sep 18, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

12%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

82%

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

99%

Beware of external links.

Brazil Presidential Election