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BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner

Avatar: Fire and Ash 96.5%

Frankenstein 5.1%

How to Train Your Dragon 1.8%

The Lost Bus 1.3%

Polymarket

$34,265 Vol.

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Special Visual Effects category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,265
End Date
Feb 22, 2026
Created At
Jan 12, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Special Visual Effects category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Avatar: Fire and Ash" at 97%, followed by "Frankenstein" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner" has generated $34.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner" is "Avatar: Fire and Ash" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Frankenstein" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner

Avatar: Fire and Ash 96.5%

Frankenstein 5.1%

How to Train Your Dragon 1.8%

The Lost Bus 1.3%

Polymarket

$34,265 Vol.

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$6,496 Vol.

97%

Frankenstein

$2,273 Vol.

5%

How to Train Your Dragon

$1,739 Vol.

2%

The Lost Bus

$1,161 Vol.

1%

F1

$467 Vol.

1%

Superman

$5,885 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$6,006 Vol.

<1%

Mickey 17

$3,656 Vol.

<1%

Jurassic World Rebirth

$3,815 Vol.

<1%

Tron: Ares

$2,769 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Avatar: Fire and Ash" at 97%, followed by "Frankenstein" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner" has generated $34.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner" is "Avatar: Fire and Ash" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Frankenstein" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "BAFTA Film Awards: Best Special Visual Effects Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.