Scream 7's third-weekend box office is locked in at 8.5-9 million by trader consensus, driven by its respectable legs after a $30.1 million domestic debut and a modest 52% drop to $14.4 million in weekend two, fueled by a B+ CinemaScore and positive word-of-mouth in the slasher genre. Historical comps to Scream (2022) and Scream VI, which posted similar multipliers around 2.0x opening by week three, reinforce this projection amid light competition. An upset below 7.5 million would require severe weather disruptions or a breakout rival like a family counterprogrammer, while exceeding 9 million hinges on viral social buzz or front-loaded holiday boosts unexpectedly extending its run.