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Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Market icon

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Clayton Johnson 34.9%

Shane Parton 19.1%

Matt Carroll 8.0%

Doug Mason 5.8%

Polymarket

$136,867 Vol.

Clayton Johnson 34.9%

Shane Parton 19.1%

Matt Carroll 8.0%

Doug Mason 5.8%

Polymarket

$136,867 Vol.

Clayton Johnson

$4,652 Vol.

35%

Shane Parton

$46,832 Vol.

19%

Matt Carroll

$1,909 Vol.

8%

Doug Mason

$5,328 Vol.

6%

Casey Hux

$1,809 Vol.

1%

Richard Van De Water

$2,042 Vol.

1%

Ronn Perez

$1,782 Vol.

1%

Rod Strozier

$2,130 Vol.

1%

Josh Harward

$1,725 Vol.

1%

Michael Baba

$2,079 Vol.

1%

Marcus Richardson

$1,785 Vol.

1%

Malik Evans

$1,856 Vol.

1%

Conrad Ukropina

$34,833 Vol.

1%

Brandon Perce

$2,757 Vol.

1%

Aaron Kahng

$1,540 Vol.

1%

Johnnie LaRossa

$7,964 Vol.

1%

Kevin Montero

$1,796 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Wood

$1,571 Vol.

<1%

Trenten Merrill

$6,614 Vol.

<1%

Brad Ledford

$1,988 Vol.

<1%

Mike Turitto

$2,193 Vol.

<1%

Lew Evans

$1,684 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Clayton Johnson as the frontrunner at 35.6% implied probability for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner, driven by his singer-songwriter appeal from Nashville and high-profile ex-fiancé status with Lana Del Rey, which fueled pre-filming buzz and fan favoritism. Shane Parton trails at 19.1%, bolstered by early rumors of off-camera chemistry with lead Taylor Frankie Paul, including December 2025 holiday sightings, and his charismatic private wealth planner persona. ABC's March 19 cancellation—sparked by resurfaced 2023 domestic violence footage—has fragmented the field, discounting Reality Steve spoilers naming Doug Mason (5.8%) as the filmed final pick after an on-show engagement that reportedly dissolved. With no episodes aired and resolution set for November 30, watch for network decisions on shelved footage or recasting amid ongoing contestant reactions.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$136,867
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Clayton Johnson as the frontrunner at 35.6% implied probability for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner, driven by his singer-songwriter appeal from Nashville and high-profile ex-fiancé status with Lana Del Rey, which fueled pre-filming buzz and fan favoritism. Shane Parton trails at 19.1%, bolstered by early rumors of off-camera chemistry with lead Taylor Frankie Paul, including December 2025 holiday sightings, and his charismatic private wealth planner persona. ABC's March 19 cancellation—sparked by resurfaced 2023 domestic violence footage—has fragmented the field, discounting Reality Steve spoilers naming Doug Mason (5.8%) as the filmed final pick after an on-show engagement that reportedly dissolved. With no episodes aired and resolution set for November 30, watch for network decisions on shelved footage or recasting amid ongoing contestant reactions.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$136,867
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Clayton Johnson" at 35%, followed by "Shane Parton" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" has generated $136.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" is "Clayton Johnson" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shane Parton" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.